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icon for La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 1° settembre?

La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 1° settembre?

icon for La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 1° settembre?

La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 1° settembre?

ago 31

set 1

set 2

ago 31

set 1

set 2

26°C 42%

27°C 39.0%

25°C 11%

24°C 5%

Polymarket
NUOVO

26°C 42%

27°C 39.0%

25°C 11%

24°C 5%

Polymarket
NUOVO

22°C or below

$796 Vol.

4%

23°C

$458 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$521 Vol.

5%

25°C

$1,490 Vol.

23%

26°C

$1,617 Vol.

59%

27°C

$2,486 Vol.

23%

28°C

$194 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$375 Vol.

1%

30°C

$317 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$114 Vol.

<1%

32°C or higher

$194 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate overnight lows in Hong Kong stabilizing near 25–26°C on September 1, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 85–95%, and moderate northeasterly monsoon flow that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of the early autumn transition in the subtropical region, align with historical early-September minima around 24.7–26°C and recent patterns of warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures sustaining elevated nighttime readings. Market-implied odds favor 26°C as the leading outcome, reflecting consensus on stable, humid conditions without significant frontal passage or clear-sky intensification of cooling. Updated model runs and official Hong Kong Observatory guidance will provide the next key data points for resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,561
Data di fine
1 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate overnight lows in Hong Kong stabilizing near 25–26°C on September 1, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 85–95%, and moderate northeasterly monsoon flow that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of the early autumn transition in the subtropical region, align with historical early-September minima around 24.7–26°C and recent patterns of warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures sustaining elevated nighttime readings. Market-implied odds favor 26°C as the leading outcome, reflecting consensus on stable, humid conditions without significant frontal passage or clear-sky intensification of cooling. Updated model runs and official Hong Kong Observatory guidance will provide the next key data points for resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,561
Data di fine
1 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Correlati

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Domande frequenti

"La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 1° settembre?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "26°C" a 59%, seguito da "25°C" a 23%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 59¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 59% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 1° settembre?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 30, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 1° settembre?", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 1° settembre?" è "26°C" a 59%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 59% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "25°C" a 23%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 1° settembre?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.