Traders see closely matched odds for 31–33°C highs in Panama City on September 2 because short-range models show modest spread around the seasonal 29–31°C baseline amid strengthening El Niño conditions. El Niño’s warmer eastern Pacific SSTs and reduced rainfall favor clearer skies and greater daytime insolation, elevating peak temperatures above long-term averages, yet afternoon convection and variable humidity can cap or boost maxima by 1–2°C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns, and model consensus on cloud cover; official forecasts currently cluster near 29–30°C, with upside risk from drier anomalies that could push readings into the low 30s. Updated model runs and satellite observations in the coming days will likely narrow this uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Panama City il 2 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Panama City il 2 settembre?
31°C 30%
32°C 29%
33°C or higher 24%
30°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
8%
30°C
15%
31°C
30%
32°C
29%
33°C or higher
24%
31°C 30%
32°C 29%
33°C or higher 24%
30°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
23°C or below
$2,280 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$202 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$202 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$12 Vol.
10%
29°C
$44 Vol.
8%
30°C
$37 Vol.
15%
31°C
$254 Vol.
30%
32°C
$39 Vol.
29%
33°C or higher
$75 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched odds for 31–33°C highs in Panama City on September 2 because short-range models show modest spread around the seasonal 29–31°C baseline amid strengthening El Niño conditions. El Niño’s warmer eastern Pacific SSTs and reduced rainfall favor clearer skies and greater daytime insolation, elevating peak temperatures above long-term averages, yet afternoon convection and variable humidity can cap or boost maxima by 1–2°C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns, and model consensus on cloud cover; official forecasts currently cluster near 29–30°C, with upside risk from drier anomalies that could push readings into the low 30s. Updated model runs and satellite observations in the coming days will likely narrow this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,331Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched odds for 31–33°C highs in Panama City on September 2 because short-range models show modest spread around the seasonal 29–31°C baseline amid strengthening El Niño conditions. El Niño’s warmer eastern Pacific SSTs and reduced rainfall favor clearer skies and greater daytime insolation, elevating peak temperatures above long-term averages, yet afternoon convection and variable humidity can cap or boost maxima by 1–2°C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns, and model consensus on cloud cover; official forecasts currently cluster near 29–30°C, with upside risk from drier anomalies that could push readings into the low 30s. Updated model runs and satellite observations in the coming days will likely narrow this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,331Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched odds for 31–33°C highs in Panama City on September 2 because short-range models show modest spread around the seasonal 29–31°C baseline amid strengthening El Niño conditions. El Niño’s warmer eastern Pacific SSTs and reduced rainfall favor clearer skies and greater daytime insolation, elevating peak temperatures above long-term averages, yet afternoon convection and variable humidity can cap or boost maxima by 1–2°C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns, and model consensus on cloud cover; official forecasts currently cluster near 29–30°C, with upside risk from drier anomalies that could push readings into the low 30s. Updated model runs and satellite observations in the coming days will likely narrow this uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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