Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 5, 2026, from sources including local meteorological data and models indicate an overnight low near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances, supporting the leading 66.5% market-implied probability for 26°C. Persistent warmth aligns with El Niño-driven patterns elevating temperatures across southwestern China, delaying typical September cooling from the 22°C historical average minimum. Model consensus shows limited overnight radiative cooling due to humidity and cloud cover, while later-week drops to 18–20°C remain possible but not imminent. New observational updates or revised model runs could refine these implied odds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 5 settembre?
20°C o inferiore 71%
22°C 10%
23°C 10%
27°C <1%
20°C o inferiore
71%
21°C
-
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
-
25°C
35%
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
20°C o inferiore 71%
22°C 10%
23°C 10%
27°C <1%
20°C o inferiore
71%
21°C
-
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
-
25°C
35%
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 5, 2026, from sources including local meteorological data and models indicate an overnight low near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances, supporting the leading 66.5% market-implied probability for 26°C. Persistent warmth aligns with El Niño-driven patterns elevating temperatures across southwestern China, delaying typical September cooling from the 22°C historical average minimum. Model consensus shows limited overnight radiative cooling due to humidity and cloud cover, while later-week drops to 18–20°C remain possible but not imminent. New observational updates or revised model runs could refine these implied odds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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