The Trump administration's August 2026 renewal of efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook—providing formal notice and a response deadline over pre-appointment mortgage allegations she has denied as inadvertent—remains the dominant driver of market-implied odds. The June 2026 Supreme Court ruling preserved Fed for-cause protections and due process requirements while leaving room for renewed action, distinguishing the central bank from other agencies amid broader presidential authority expansions. Cook's recent comments emphasizing inflation risks over labor market weakness underscore potential policy divergence, with traders monitoring lower-court proceedings, any FOMC voting shifts, and Treasury yield reactions for signals on monetary policy continuity. Resolution timelines hinge on legal milestones and administration follow-through.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$14,414 Vol.
31 dic 2026
30 settembre
1%
31 ottobre
2%
30 novembre
6%
31 dicembre
5%
$14,414 Vol.
30 settembre
$6,660 Vol.
1%
31 ottobre
$5,143 Vol.
2%
30 novembre
$1,041 Vol.
6%
31 dicembre
$1,570 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The Trump administration's August 2026 renewal of efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook—providing formal notice and a response deadline over pre-appointment mortgage allegations she has denied as inadvertent—remains the dominant driver of market-implied odds. The June 2026 Supreme Court ruling preserved Fed for-cause protections and due process requirements while leaving room for renewed action, distinguishing the central bank from other agencies amid broader presidential authority expansions. Cook's recent comments emphasizing inflation risks over labor market weakness underscore potential policy divergence, with traders monitoring lower-court proceedings, any FOMC voting shifts, and Treasury yield reactions for signals on monetary policy continuity. Resolution timelines hinge on legal milestones and administration follow-through.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Volume
$14,414Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The Trump administration's August 2026 renewal of efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook—providing formal notice and a response deadline over pre-appointment mortgage allegations she has denied as inadvertent—remains the dominant driver of market-implied odds. The June 2026 Supreme Court ruling preserved Fed for-cause protections and due process requirements while leaving room for renewed action, distinguishing the central bank from other agencies amid broader presidential authority expansions. Cook's recent comments emphasizing inflation risks over labor market weakness underscore potential policy divergence, with traders monitoring lower-court proceedings, any FOMC voting shifts, and Treasury yield reactions for signals on monetary policy continuity. Resolution timelines hinge on legal milestones and administration follow-through.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$14,414Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration's August 2026 renewal of efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook—providing formal notice and a response deadline over pre-appointment mortgage allegations she has denied as inadvertent—remains the dominant driver of market-implied odds. The June 2026 Supreme Court ruling preserved Fed for-cause protections and due process requirements while leaving room for renewed action, distinguishing the central bank from other agencies amid broader presidential authority expansions. Cook's recent comments emphasizing inflation risks over labor market weakness underscore potential policy divergence, with traders monitoring lower-court proceedings, any FOMC voting shifts, and Treasury yield reactions for signals on monetary policy continuity. Resolution timelines hinge on legal milestones and administration follow-through.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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