The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% through its July 2026 meeting reflects resilient U.S. economic growth, contained unemployment near 4.3–4.4%, and inflation data that, while above the 2% target, shows no acute crisis signals. Recent FOMC minutes and projections from institutions like Goldman Sachs point to the next policy easing only in 2027, with markets instead pricing potential hikes amid energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions. Emergency inter-meeting cuts remain rare absent sharp financial stress or recessionary data revisions. Trader consensus at 94% against such an action before 2027 aligns with this stability, though a sudden labor market collapse or systemic shock could still alter the path.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
6% probabilità
$129,898 Vol.
$129,898 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
6% probabilità
$129,898 Vol.
$129,898 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% through its July 2026 meeting reflects resilient U.S. economic growth, contained unemployment near 4.3–4.4%, and inflation data that, while above the 2% target, shows no acute crisis signals. Recent FOMC minutes and projections from institutions like Goldman Sachs point to the next policy easing only in 2027, with markets instead pricing potential hikes amid energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions. Emergency inter-meeting cuts remain rare absent sharp financial stress or recessionary data revisions. Trader consensus at 94% against such an action before 2027 aligns with this stability, though a sudden labor market collapse or systemic shock could still alter the path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$129,898Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% through its July 2026 meeting reflects resilient U.S. economic growth, contained unemployment near 4.3–4.4%, and inflation data that, while above the 2% target, shows no acute crisis signals. Recent FOMC minutes and projections from institutions like Goldman Sachs point to the next policy easing only in 2027, with markets instead pricing potential hikes amid energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions. Emergency inter-meeting cuts remain rare absent sharp financial stress or recessionary data revisions. Trader consensus at 94% against such an action before 2027 aligns with this stability, though a sudden labor market collapse or systemic shock could still alter the path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volume
$129,898Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% through its July 2026 meeting reflects resilient U.S. economic growth, contained unemployment near 4.3–4.4%, and inflation data that, while above the 2% target, shows no acute crisis signals. Recent FOMC minutes and projections from institutions like Goldman Sachs point to the next policy easing only in 2027, with markets instead pricing potential hikes amid energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions. Emergency inter-meeting cuts remain rare absent sharp financial stress or recessionary data revisions. Trader consensus at 94% against such an action before 2027 aligns with this stability, though a sudden labor market collapse or systemic shock could still alter the path.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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