Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Decisioni della Fed (set-dic)
Economy·Fed

Decisioni della Fed (set-dic)

icon for Decisioni della Fed (set-dic)
Economy·Fed

Decisioni della Fed (set-dic)

set 16

ott 28

dic 9

set 16

ott 28

dic 9

Pausa–pausa–pausa 28%

Aumento–Pausa–Pausa 19%

Pausa–Pausa–Aumento 12%

Pausa–Aumento–Aumento 12%

Polymarket

$10,897 Vol.

Pausa–pausa–pausa 28%

Aumento–Pausa–Pausa 19%

Pausa–Pausa–Aumento 12%

Pausa–Aumento–Aumento 12%

Polymarket

$10,897 Vol.

Aumento–Pausa–Aumento

$314 Vol.

11%

Aumento–Pausa–Pausa

$296 Vol.

19%

Aumento–Aumento–Aumento

$216 Vol.

5%

Rialzo–Rialzo–Pausa

$237 Vol.

6%

Pausa–Pausa–Aumento

$253 Vol.

12%

Pausa–pausa–pausa

$8,928 Vol.

28%

Pausa–Aumento–Aumento

$237 Vol.

12%

Pausa–Aumento–Pausa

$214 Vol.

10%

Altro

$203 Vol.

5%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated inflation remains the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment on the September, October, and December 2026 FOMC decisions, with July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year—still well above the 2% target—and energy prices contributing the bulk of the upside surprise. The June SEP revisions lifted 2026 core PCE projections to 3.3% and the median federal funds rate path to 3.8%, signaling that a majority of participants now see at least one hike by year-end amid stable but balanced labor market conditions with unemployment near 4.2%. This backdrop has produced closely matched probabilities across hold and hike sequences, reflecting uncertainty over whether recent energy-driven pressures will fade or require policy tightening. The September 16 meeting, accompanied by fresh projections, and the September 11 CPI release stand as the nearest catalysts that could shift the implied rate path.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.

A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".

Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Volume
$10,897
Data di fine
9 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated inflation remains the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment on the September, October, and December 2026 FOMC decisions, with July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year—still well above the 2% target—and energy prices contributing the bulk of the upside surprise. The June SEP revisions lifted 2026 core PCE projections to 3.3% and the median federal funds rate path to 3.8%, signaling that a majority of participants now see at least one hike by year-end amid stable but balanced labor market conditions with unemployment near 4.2%. This backdrop has produced closely matched probabilities across hold and hike sequences, reflecting uncertainty over whether recent energy-driven pressures will fade or require policy tightening. The September 16 meeting, accompanied by fresh projections, and the September 11 CPI release stand as the nearest catalysts that could shift the implied rate path.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.

A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".

Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Volume
$10,897
Data di fine
9 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

64%
icon for Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

51%
icon for La Fed aumenterà i tassi di interesse di 25 punti base dopo la riunione di settembre 2026?

La Fed aumenterà i tassi di interesse di 25 punti base dopo la riunione di settembre 2026?

51%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Decisioni della Fed (set-dic)" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Pausa–pausa–pausa" a 28%, seguito da "Aumento–Pausa–Pausa" a 19%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 28¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 28% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Decisioni della Fed (set-dic)" ha generato $10.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Sep 2, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Decisioni della Fed (set-dic)", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Decisioni della Fed (set-dic)" è "Pausa–pausa–pausa" a 28%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 28% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Aumento–Pausa–Pausa" a 19%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Decisioni della Fed (set-dic)" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.