Kansas's 1st congressional district maintains a strongly Republican profile, reflected in its R+16 partisan voting index and consistent results in prior cycles, including the incumbent's 69% share in 2024. Tracey Mann secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 81% of the vote, while Democrat Lauren Reinhold advanced as the opposing nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. This positioning aligns with the district's rural and conservative electorate and limited shifts in voter patterns. A national Democratic surge, unforeseen scandals, or candidate health developments before Election Day could introduce volatility, though the seat's structural advantages make substantial movement improbable on current evidence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKS-01 House Election Winner
KS-01 House Election Winner
$17,348 Vol.
$17,348 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$17,348 Vol.
$17,348 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$6,050 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$11,298 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kansas's 1st congressional district maintains a strongly Republican profile, reflected in its R+16 partisan voting index and consistent results in prior cycles, including the incumbent's 69% share in 2024. Tracey Mann secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 81% of the vote, while Democrat Lauren Reinhold advanced as the opposing nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. This positioning aligns with the district's rural and conservative electorate and limited shifts in voter patterns. A national Democratic surge, unforeseen scandals, or candidate health developments before Election Day could introduce volatility, though the seat's structural advantages make substantial movement improbable on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$17,348Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kansas's 1st congressional district maintains a strongly Republican profile, reflected in its R+16 partisan voting index and consistent results in prior cycles, including the incumbent's 69% share in 2024. Tracey Mann secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 81% of the vote, while Democrat Lauren Reinhold advanced as the opposing nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. This positioning aligns with the district's rural and conservative electorate and limited shifts in voter patterns. A national Democratic surge, unforeseen scandals, or candidate health developments before Election Day could introduce volatility, though the seat's structural advantages make substantial movement improbable on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,348Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kansas's 1st congressional district maintains a strongly Republican profile, reflected in its R+16 partisan voting index and consistent results in prior cycles, including the incumbent's 69% share in 2024. Tracey Mann secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 81% of the vote, while Democrat Lauren Reinhold advanced as the opposing nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. This positioning aligns with the district's rural and conservative electorate and limited shifts in voter patterns. A national Democratic surge, unforeseen scandals, or candidate health developments before Election Day could introduce volatility, though the seat's structural advantages make substantial movement improbable on current evidence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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