Current meteorological forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, on August 9 position a daily maximum near 14°C as the most probable outcome, aligning with trader consensus at 58% implied probability. In Southern Hemisphere winter, typical highs average 12–14°C under the influence of prevailing westerly flows and maritime moderation from the Tasman Sea. Recent model guidance and seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures for the period, with limited signals for significant warming or cooling anomalies. Resolution hinges on official MetService observations of the peak reading, and any late adjustments from updated numerical weather prediction runs could shift probabilities toward the 15°C or 13°C outcomes now trading at 29.5% and 11.5%, respectively.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 9 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 9 agosto?
14°C 57%
15°C 36%
13°C 9%
12°C 2%
NUOVO
$11,514 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,514 Vol.
9 ago 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
9%
14°C
57%
15°C
36%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 57%
15°C 36%
13°C 9%
12°C 2%
NUOVO
$11,514 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,514 Vol.
9 ago 2026
9°C or below
$328 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$404 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$502 Vol.
2%
13°C
$2,661 Vol.
9%
14°C
$1,649 Vol.
57%
15°C
$4,137 Vol.
36%
16°C
$388 Vol.
2%
17°C
$394 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$361 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, on August 9 position a daily maximum near 14°C as the most probable outcome, aligning with trader consensus at 58% implied probability. In Southern Hemisphere winter, typical highs average 12–14°C under the influence of prevailing westerly flows and maritime moderation from the Tasman Sea. Recent model guidance and seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures for the period, with limited signals for significant warming or cooling anomalies. Resolution hinges on official MetService observations of the peak reading, and any late adjustments from updated numerical weather prediction runs could shift probabilities toward the 15°C or 13°C outcomes now trading at 29.5% and 11.5%, respectively.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$11,514Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, on August 9 position a daily maximum near 14°C as the most probable outcome, aligning with trader consensus at 58% implied probability. In Southern Hemisphere winter, typical highs average 12–14°C under the influence of prevailing westerly flows and maritime moderation from the Tasman Sea. Recent model guidance and seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures for the period, with limited signals for significant warming or cooling anomalies. Resolution hinges on official MetService observations of the peak reading, and any late adjustments from updated numerical weather prediction runs could shift probabilities toward the 15°C or 13°C outcomes now trading at 29.5% and 11.5%, respectively.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,514Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, on August 9 position a daily maximum near 14°C as the most probable outcome, aligning with trader consensus at 58% implied probability. In Southern Hemisphere winter, typical highs average 12–14°C under the influence of prevailing westerly flows and maritime moderation from the Tasman Sea. Recent model guidance and seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures for the period, with limited signals for significant warming or cooling anomalies. Resolution hinges on official MetService observations of the peak reading, and any late adjustments from updated numerical weather prediction runs could shift probabilities toward the 15°C or 13°C outcomes now trading at 29.5% and 11.5%, respectively.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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