Recent forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather place Manila's August 9 high near 29–30°C under southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting typical wet-season moderation where historical August averages hover around 31°C but frequent convective activity often suppresses maxima by 1–3°C. Model consensus shows low likelihood of clear skies or extreme heat, though minor shifts in monsoon strength or localized thunderstorm timing could nudge readings toward 31°C or hold them at 28°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities as short-range models incorporate latest atmospheric data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 9 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 9 agosto?
29°C 39%
28°C 22%
30°C 22%
31°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
22%
29°C
39%
30°C
22%
31°C
10%
32°C
2%
33°C o superiore
2%
29°C 39%
28°C 22%
30°C 22%
31°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
$353 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$570 Vol.
1%
26°C
$57 Vol.
2%
27°C
$89 Vol.
4%
28°C
$60 Vol.
22%
29°C
$288 Vol.
39%
30°C
$24 Vol.
22%
31°C
$180 Vol.
10%
32°C
$74 Vol.
2%
33°C o superiore
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather place Manila's August 9 high near 29–30°C under southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting typical wet-season moderation where historical August averages hover around 31°C but frequent convective activity often suppresses maxima by 1–3°C. Model consensus shows low likelihood of clear skies or extreme heat, though minor shifts in monsoon strength or localized thunderstorm timing could nudge readings toward 31°C or hold them at 28°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities as short-range models incorporate latest atmospheric data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$2,099Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather place Manila's August 9 high near 29–30°C under southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting typical wet-season moderation where historical August averages hover around 31°C but frequent convective activity often suppresses maxima by 1–3°C. Model consensus shows low likelihood of clear skies or extreme heat, though minor shifts in monsoon strength or localized thunderstorm timing could nudge readings toward 31°C or hold them at 28°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities as short-range models incorporate latest atmospheric data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,099Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather place Manila's August 9 high near 29–30°C under southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting typical wet-season moderation where historical August averages hover around 31°C but frequent convective activity often suppresses maxima by 1–3°C. Model consensus shows low likelihood of clear skies or extreme heat, though minor shifts in monsoon strength or localized thunderstorm timing could nudge readings toward 31°C or hold them at 28°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities as short-range models incorporate latest atmospheric data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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