Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on August 9, consistent with trader emphasis on the 26°C and 25°C outcomes. Persistent influence of an strengthened Pacific High has sustained above-normal summer temperatures across the region, limiting overnight cooling despite partly to mostly cloudy conditions expected that day. Historical early-August lows in Tokyo typically range 23–25°C, and current model consensus shows no significant frontal passage or increased cloud cover sufficient to push minima lower. Upcoming JMA daily updates and refined ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 9 agosto?
26°C 42%
25°C 24%
24°C 5%
27°C 4%
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
32%
26°C
47%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 42%
25°C 24%
24°C 5%
27°C 4%
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
32%
26°C
47%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on August 9, consistent with trader emphasis on the 26°C and 25°C outcomes. Persistent influence of an strengthened Pacific High has sustained above-normal summer temperatures across the region, limiting overnight cooling despite partly to mostly cloudy conditions expected that day. Historical early-August lows in Tokyo typically range 23–25°C, and current model consensus shows no significant frontal passage or increased cloud cover sufficient to push minima lower. Upcoming JMA daily updates and refined ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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