Trader consensus has consolidated at 100% on an 86–87 °F high at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) for August 6, reflecting ensemble guidance from NOAA and other models that projected modest mid-level ridging and a weakened marine layer allowing daytime temperatures to peak in the upper 80s under mostly sunny skies. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service consistently called for a high near 87–88 °F, consistent with climatological August maxima around 76 °F but elevated by the transient ridge. The market-implied probability aligns with the final verified observation at KSEA, which resolved within the 86–87 °F bin. Only a substantial late-day marine push or model bias exceeding 2–3 °F could have shifted the outcome, scenarios that did not materialize given the observed conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Seattle il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Seattle il 6 agosto?
86-87°F 100.0%
$64,037 Vol.
$64,037 Vol.
6 ago 2026
86-87°F
100%
86-87°F 100.0%
$64,037 Vol.
$64,037 Vol.
6 ago 2026
86-87°F
$9,178 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has consolidated at 100% on an 86–87 °F high at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) for August 6, reflecting ensemble guidance from NOAA and other models that projected modest mid-level ridging and a weakened marine layer allowing daytime temperatures to peak in the upper 80s under mostly sunny skies. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service consistently called for a high near 87–88 °F, consistent with climatological August maxima around 76 °F but elevated by the transient ridge. The market-implied probability aligns with the final verified observation at KSEA, which resolved within the 86–87 °F bin. Only a substantial late-day marine push or model bias exceeding 2–3 °F could have shifted the outcome, scenarios that did not materialize given the observed conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$64,037Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has consolidated at 100% on an 86–87 °F high at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) for August 6, reflecting ensemble guidance from NOAA and other models that projected modest mid-level ridging and a weakened marine layer allowing daytime temperatures to peak in the upper 80s under mostly sunny skies. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service consistently called for a high near 87–88 °F, consistent with climatological August maxima around 76 °F but elevated by the transient ridge. The market-implied probability aligns with the final verified observation at KSEA, which resolved within the 86–87 °F bin. Only a substantial late-day marine push or model bias exceeding 2–3 °F could have shifted the outcome, scenarios that did not materialize given the observed conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$64,037Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has consolidated at 100% on an 86–87 °F high at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) for August 6, reflecting ensemble guidance from NOAA and other models that projected modest mid-level ridging and a weakened marine layer allowing daytime temperatures to peak in the upper 80s under mostly sunny skies. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service consistently called for a high near 87–88 °F, consistent with climatological August maxima around 76 °F but elevated by the transient ridge. The market-implied probability aligns with the final verified observation at KSEA, which resolved within the 86–87 °F bin. Only a substantial late-day marine push or model bias exceeding 2–3 °F could have shifted the outcome, scenarios that did not materialize given the observed conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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