**Trader consensus centers on a 30°C high for Tokyo on September 14, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecast of 31°C maximum alongside GFS and other model guidance converging near 29–31°C.** Southerly winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to support modest warming after recent showers, though seasonal norms for mid-September (average high around 27°C) and lingering humidity limit further intensification. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, with minimal risk of significant deviation unless unexpected clearing or a shift in steering flow occurs. The market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering of official guidance and real-time observational trends ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tokyo il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Tokyo il 14 settembre?
30°C 50%
29°C 25%
31°C 15%
28°C 9%
NUOVO
$11,289 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,289 Vol.
14 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
25%
30°C
50%
31°C
15%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
30°C 50%
29°C 25%
31°C 15%
28°C 9%
NUOVO
$11,289 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,289 Vol.
14 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
$1,996 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$399 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$421 Vol.
3%
28°C
$622 Vol.
9%
29°C
$1,665 Vol.
25%
30°C
$1,347 Vol.
50%
31°C
$3,010 Vol.
15%
32°C
$474 Vol.
4%
33°C
$287 Vol.
2%
34°C
$355 Vol.
<1%
35°C o superiore
$713 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 30°C high for Tokyo on September 14, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecast of 31°C maximum alongside GFS and other model guidance converging near 29–31°C.** Southerly winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to support modest warming after recent showers, though seasonal norms for mid-September (average high around 27°C) and lingering humidity limit further intensification. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, with minimal risk of significant deviation unless unexpected clearing or a shift in steering flow occurs. The market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering of official guidance and real-time observational trends ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,289Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 30°C high for Tokyo on September 14, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecast of 31°C maximum alongside GFS and other model guidance converging near 29–31°C.** Southerly winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to support modest warming after recent showers, though seasonal norms for mid-September (average high around 27°C) and lingering humidity limit further intensification. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, with minimal risk of significant deviation unless unexpected clearing or a shift in steering flow occurs. The market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering of official guidance and real-time observational trends ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,289Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 30°C high for Tokyo on September 14, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecast of 31°C maximum alongside GFS and other model guidance converging near 29–31°C.** Southerly winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to support modest warming after recent showers, though seasonal norms for mid-September (average high around 27°C) and lingering humidity limit further intensification. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, with minimal risk of significant deviation unless unexpected clearing or a shift in steering flow occurs. The market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering of official guidance and real-time observational trends ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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