Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical early-September Mediterranean conditions without significant warm advection or subsidence strengthening. This aligns closely with climatological norms near 29°C and current surface observations showing similar values on September 5. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 31°C and 45.5% for 32°C, captures the narrow uncertainty range in afternoon maximums from local heating and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities above 33°C remain negligible absent unexpected model shifts. Updated guidance and any late-day observational adjustments will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 6 settembre?
31°C 56%
32°C 46%
33°C 2%
34°C <1%
NUOVO
$13,817 Vol.
NUOVO
$13,817 Vol.
6 set 2026
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
56%
32°C
46%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 56%
32°C 46%
33°C 2%
34°C <1%
NUOVO
$13,817 Vol.
NUOVO
$13,817 Vol.
6 set 2026
28°C o inferiore
$245 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,248 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,807 Vol.
56%
32°C
$3,768 Vol.
46%
33°C
$992 Vol.
2%
34°C
$918 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$698 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$529 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,095 Vol.
<1%
38°C o superiore
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical early-September Mediterranean conditions without significant warm advection or subsidence strengthening. This aligns closely with climatological norms near 29°C and current surface observations showing similar values on September 5. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 31°C and 45.5% for 32°C, captures the narrow uncertainty range in afternoon maximums from local heating and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities above 33°C remain negligible absent unexpected model shifts. Updated guidance and any late-day observational adjustments will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,817Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical early-September Mediterranean conditions without significant warm advection or subsidence strengthening. This aligns closely with climatological norms near 29°C and current surface observations showing similar values on September 5. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 31°C and 45.5% for 32°C, captures the narrow uncertainty range in afternoon maximums from local heating and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities above 33°C remain negligible absent unexpected model shifts. Updated guidance and any late-day observational adjustments will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,817Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical early-September Mediterranean conditions without significant warm advection or subsidence strengthening. This aligns closely with climatological norms near 29°C and current surface observations showing similar values on September 5. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 31°C and 45.5% for 32°C, captures the narrow uncertainty range in afternoon maximums from local heating and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities above 33°C remain negligible absent unexpected model shifts. Updated guidance and any late-day observational adjustments will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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