Forecast models for early September 2026 place Seoul and Incheon highs near 28–29 °C on the 7th, aligning with the market’s tight clustering at those two outcomes. Persistent northeast flow under a migratory high, combined with above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea, supports daytime warming while limiting extreme heat. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with coastal Incheon stations occasionally recording 1 °C cooler readings than inland Seoul. Historical climatology shows early-September maxima averaging 26–27 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly. Traders will watch the next KMA model cycles and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture for signals that could shift the balance between 28 °C and 29 °C resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 7 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 7 settembre?
29°C 41%
28°C 35%
30°C 10%
31°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
35%
29°C
41%
30°C
10%
31°C
10%
32°C o superiore
2%
29°C 41%
28°C 35%
30°C 10%
31°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$50 Vol.
8%
28°C
$135 Vol.
35%
29°C
$276 Vol.
41%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$20 Vol.
10%
32°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for early September 2026 place Seoul and Incheon highs near 28–29 °C on the 7th, aligning with the market’s tight clustering at those two outcomes. Persistent northeast flow under a migratory high, combined with above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea, supports daytime warming while limiting extreme heat. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with coastal Incheon stations occasionally recording 1 °C cooler readings than inland Seoul. Historical climatology shows early-September maxima averaging 26–27 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly. Traders will watch the next KMA model cycles and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture for signals that could shift the balance between 28 °C and 29 °C resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$486Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for early September 2026 place Seoul and Incheon highs near 28–29 °C on the 7th, aligning with the market’s tight clustering at those two outcomes. Persistent northeast flow under a migratory high, combined with above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea, supports daytime warming while limiting extreme heat. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with coastal Incheon stations occasionally recording 1 °C cooler readings than inland Seoul. Historical climatology shows early-September maxima averaging 26–27 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly. Traders will watch the next KMA model cycles and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture for signals that could shift the balance between 28 °C and 29 °C resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$486Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for early September 2026 place Seoul and Incheon highs near 28–29 °C on the 7th, aligning with the market’s tight clustering at those two outcomes. Persistent northeast flow under a migratory high, combined with above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea, supports daytime warming while limiting extreme heat. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with coastal Incheon stations occasionally recording 1 °C cooler readings than inland Seoul. Historical climatology shows early-September maxima averaging 26–27 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly. Traders will watch the next KMA model cycles and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture for signals that could shift the balance between 28 °C and 29 °C resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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