Forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration currently favor a peak temperature of 30–31°C in Seoul/Incheon on August 15, driven by typical mid-August East Asian summer conditions featuring high humidity, weak steering flows, and afternoon convective activity that may limit full insolation. Recent runs show slight cooling from cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, keeping values below seasonal peaks near 33°C while above the 29°C threshold. Traders weigh ensemble spread in guidance, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations; updated model cycles over the next 48 hours will refine the outlook as the date approaches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 15 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 15 agosto?
30°C 35%
31°C 28%
29°C 24%
28°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
24%
30°C
35%
31°C
28%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 35%
31°C 28%
29°C 24%
28°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
24°C or below
$379 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$133 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$22 Vol.
3%
27°C
$20 Vol.
3%
28°C
$68 Vol.
10%
29°C
$105 Vol.
24%
30°C
$273 Vol.
35%
31°C
$33 Vol.
28%
32°C
$46 Vol.
7%
33°C
$23 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$26 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration currently favor a peak temperature of 30–31°C in Seoul/Incheon on August 15, driven by typical mid-August East Asian summer conditions featuring high humidity, weak steering flows, and afternoon convective activity that may limit full insolation. Recent runs show slight cooling from cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, keeping values below seasonal peaks near 33°C while above the 29°C threshold. Traders weigh ensemble spread in guidance, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations; updated model cycles over the next 48 hours will refine the outlook as the date approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,127Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration currently favor a peak temperature of 30–31°C in Seoul/Incheon on August 15, driven by typical mid-August East Asian summer conditions featuring high humidity, weak steering flows, and afternoon convective activity that may limit full insolation. Recent runs show slight cooling from cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, keeping values below seasonal peaks near 33°C while above the 29°C threshold. Traders weigh ensemble spread in guidance, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations; updated model cycles over the next 48 hours will refine the outlook as the date approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,127Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration currently favor a peak temperature of 30–31°C in Seoul/Incheon on August 15, driven by typical mid-August East Asian summer conditions featuring high humidity, weak steering flows, and afternoon convective activity that may limit full insolation. Recent runs show slight cooling from cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, keeping values below seasonal peaks near 33°C while above the 29°C threshold. Traders weigh ensemble spread in guidance, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations; updated model cycles over the next 48 hours will refine the outlook as the date approaches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti