Recent model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to a subtropical high-pressure ridge dominating São Paulo on August 12, suppressing convective activity and limiting peak surface heating amid typical August dry-season conditions. This setup anchors daytime maxima near the climatological average of 23–25 °C, with ensemble guidance showing narrow spreads around 24 °C as the most probable outcome. Persistent cloud cover and a modest cool-air influence have tempered any strong warming signals, keeping probabilities concentrated on 24 °C (44 %) and 25 °C (31.5 %) while assigning only marginal weight to outliers above 26 °C. Updated forecast runs and surface observations through August 11 continue to reinforce this stable pattern ahead of final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 12 agosto?
24°C 44%
25°C 32%
26°C 17%
23°C 8%
NUOVO
$24,336 Vol.
NUOVO
$24,336 Vol.
12 ago 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
8%
24°C
44%
25°C
32%
26°C
17%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 44%
25°C 32%
26°C 17%
23°C 8%
NUOVO
$24,336 Vol.
NUOVO
$24,336 Vol.
12 ago 2026
19°C or below
$320 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$841 Vol.
1%
21°C
$2,737 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,479 Vol.
4%
23°C
$5,966 Vol.
8%
24°C
$4,628 Vol.
44%
25°C
$2,065 Vol.
32%
26°C
$1,720 Vol.
17%
27°C
$808 Vol.
2%
28°C
$581 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$3,191 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to a subtropical high-pressure ridge dominating São Paulo on August 12, suppressing convective activity and limiting peak surface heating amid typical August dry-season conditions. This setup anchors daytime maxima near the climatological average of 23–25 °C, with ensemble guidance showing narrow spreads around 24 °C as the most probable outcome. Persistent cloud cover and a modest cool-air influence have tempered any strong warming signals, keeping probabilities concentrated on 24 °C (44 %) and 25 °C (31.5 %) while assigning only marginal weight to outliers above 26 °C. Updated forecast runs and surface observations through August 11 continue to reinforce this stable pattern ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$24,336Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to a subtropical high-pressure ridge dominating São Paulo on August 12, suppressing convective activity and limiting peak surface heating amid typical August dry-season conditions. This setup anchors daytime maxima near the climatological average of 23–25 °C, with ensemble guidance showing narrow spreads around 24 °C as the most probable outcome. Persistent cloud cover and a modest cool-air influence have tempered any strong warming signals, keeping probabilities concentrated on 24 °C (44 %) and 25 °C (31.5 %) while assigning only marginal weight to outliers above 26 °C. Updated forecast runs and surface observations through August 11 continue to reinforce this stable pattern ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,336Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to a subtropical high-pressure ridge dominating São Paulo on August 12, suppressing convective activity and limiting peak surface heating amid typical August dry-season conditions. This setup anchors daytime maxima near the climatological average of 23–25 °C, with ensemble guidance showing narrow spreads around 24 °C as the most probable outcome. Persistent cloud cover and a modest cool-air influence have tempered any strong warming signals, keeping probabilities concentrated on 24 °C (44 %) and 25 °C (31.5 %) while assigning only marginal weight to outliers above 26 °C. Updated forecast runs and surface observations through August 11 continue to reinforce this stable pattern ahead of final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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