Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate a typical mid-August Mediterranean high-pressure regime over Tel Aviv, with clear skies, light westerly winds, and minimal moisture supporting a daytime maximum near 32–33°C on August 14. Recent runs show slight stabilization after warmer conditions on the 13th, consistent with climatological averages of 30–32°C for the period and no developing heat dome or Saharan air intrusion. Trader consensus at 50% for 33°C and 32.5% for 32°C reflects this narrow range, with lower probabilities for outliers given the short forecast horizon and low model spread. Updated runs from NOAA and regional ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 14 agosto?
33°C 56%
32°C 37%
34°C 12%
29°C or below 4%
29°C or below
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
37%
33°C
56%
34°C
12%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
2%
33°C 56%
32°C 37%
34°C 12%
29°C or below 4%
29°C or below
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
37%
33°C
56%
34°C
12%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate a typical mid-August Mediterranean high-pressure regime over Tel Aviv, with clear skies, light westerly winds, and minimal moisture supporting a daytime maximum near 32–33°C on August 14. Recent runs show slight stabilization after warmer conditions on the 13th, consistent with climatological averages of 30–32°C for the period and no developing heat dome or Saharan air intrusion. Trader consensus at 50% for 33°C and 32.5% for 32°C reflects this narrow range, with lower probabilities for outliers given the short forecast horizon and low model spread. Updated runs from NOAA and regional ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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