Recent Météo-France forecasts and a yellow heatwave alert signal intensifying high pressure and southerly flow over northern France, positioning 35°C as the leading outcome for Paris's August 12 maximum with 48.5% market-implied odds. Model consensus points to daytime peaks climbing from 33°C on August 10 toward 34–36°C mid-week, aided by urban heat island amplification in the capital and limited cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with 34°C and 36°C capturing the next-highest probabilities at 25.5% and 18.5%. Updated runs expected from Météo-France and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture ahead of the peak heating window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 12 agosto?
35°C 49%
34°C 26%
36°C 19%
33°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
29°C o inferiore
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
26%
35°C
49%
36°C
19%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C o superiore
<1%
35°C 49%
34°C 26%
36°C 19%
33°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
29°C o inferiore
$1,850 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$711 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$294 Vol.
1%
33°C
$560 Vol.
4%
34°C
$880 Vol.
26%
35°C
$1,168 Vol.
49%
36°C
$479 Vol.
19%
37°C
$335 Vol.
4%
38°C
$211 Vol.
1%
39°C o superiore
$231 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts and a yellow heatwave alert signal intensifying high pressure and southerly flow over northern France, positioning 35°C as the leading outcome for Paris's August 12 maximum with 48.5% market-implied odds. Model consensus points to daytime peaks climbing from 33°C on August 10 toward 34–36°C mid-week, aided by urban heat island amplification in the capital and limited cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with 34°C and 36°C capturing the next-highest probabilities at 25.5% and 18.5%. Updated runs expected from Météo-France and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture ahead of the peak heating window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,889Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts and a yellow heatwave alert signal intensifying high pressure and southerly flow over northern France, positioning 35°C as the leading outcome for Paris's August 12 maximum with 48.5% market-implied odds. Model consensus points to daytime peaks climbing from 33°C on August 10 toward 34–36°C mid-week, aided by urban heat island amplification in the capital and limited cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with 34°C and 36°C capturing the next-highest probabilities at 25.5% and 18.5%. Updated runs expected from Météo-France and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture ahead of the peak heating window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,889Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France forecasts and a yellow heatwave alert signal intensifying high pressure and southerly flow over northern France, positioning 35°C as the leading outcome for Paris's August 12 maximum with 48.5% market-implied odds. Model consensus points to daytime peaks climbing from 33°C on August 10 toward 34–36°C mid-week, aided by urban heat island amplification in the capital and limited cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with 34°C and 36°C capturing the next-highest probabilities at 25.5% and 18.5%. Updated runs expected from Météo-France and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture ahead of the peak heating window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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