**Clear skies and light winds are positioning Qingdao for a daily maximum near 29–31 °C on September 6.** Multiple short-range models and local forecasts show sunny conditions persisting under a stable high-pressure pattern, with daytime heating aided by the post-summer solar angle and minimal cloud cover. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea keeps extremes in check, while recent days’ highs of 28–31 °C establish a warm baseline. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble outputs cluster around 28–29 °C, yet trader pricing (31 °C at 55.5 %, 30 °C at 32 %) reflects uncertainty in exact station readings, possible urban-heat effects at the primary Qingdao site, and the narrow resolution thresholds. No significant frontal systems or moisture are expected in the next 24 hours, so the primary variables remain precise peak timing and measurement methodology. Updated model runs and final observational data tomorrow morning will drive any late shifts in implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 6 settembre?
31°C 55%
30°C 35%
32°C 7%
29°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
35%
31°C
55%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 55%
30°C 35%
32°C 7%
29°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
$245 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$509 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$446 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$569 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,023 Vol.
6%
30°C
$928 Vol.
35%
31°C
$2,097 Vol.
55%
32°C
$514 Vol.
7%
33°C
$411 Vol.
2%
34°C
$94 Vol.
<1%
35°C o superiore
$203 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds are positioning Qingdao for a daily maximum near 29–31 °C on September 6.** Multiple short-range models and local forecasts show sunny conditions persisting under a stable high-pressure pattern, with daytime heating aided by the post-summer solar angle and minimal cloud cover. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea keeps extremes in check, while recent days’ highs of 28–31 °C establish a warm baseline. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble outputs cluster around 28–29 °C, yet trader pricing (31 °C at 55.5 %, 30 °C at 32 %) reflects uncertainty in exact station readings, possible urban-heat effects at the primary Qingdao site, and the narrow resolution thresholds. No significant frontal systems or moisture are expected in the next 24 hours, so the primary variables remain precise peak timing and measurement methodology. Updated model runs and final observational data tomorrow morning will drive any late shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$7,039Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds are positioning Qingdao for a daily maximum near 29–31 °C on September 6.** Multiple short-range models and local forecasts show sunny conditions persisting under a stable high-pressure pattern, with daytime heating aided by the post-summer solar angle and minimal cloud cover. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea keeps extremes in check, while recent days’ highs of 28–31 °C establish a warm baseline. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble outputs cluster around 28–29 °C, yet trader pricing (31 °C at 55.5 %, 30 °C at 32 %) reflects uncertainty in exact station readings, possible urban-heat effects at the primary Qingdao site, and the narrow resolution thresholds. No significant frontal systems or moisture are expected in the next 24 hours, so the primary variables remain precise peak timing and measurement methodology. Updated model runs and final observational data tomorrow morning will drive any late shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,039Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light winds are positioning Qingdao for a daily maximum near 29–31 °C on September 6.** Multiple short-range models and local forecasts show sunny conditions persisting under a stable high-pressure pattern, with daytime heating aided by the post-summer solar angle and minimal cloud cover. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea keeps extremes in check, while recent days’ highs of 28–31 °C establish a warm baseline. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble outputs cluster around 28–29 °C, yet trader pricing (31 °C at 55.5 %, 30 °C at 32 %) reflects uncertainty in exact station readings, possible urban-heat effects at the primary Qingdao site, and the narrow resolution thresholds. No significant frontal systems or moisture are expected in the next 24 hours, so the primary variables remain precise peak timing and measurement methodology. Updated model runs and final observational data tomorrow morning will drive any late shifts in implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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