Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on daytime maxima of 31–33°C for coastal Qingdao on August 18, aligning with typical August climatology where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity and moderate onshore flow. This positions 33°C as the market leader, with 32°C and 34°C as close alternatives, reflecting uncertainty in peak timing and any afternoon cloud or sea-breeze effects that could trim or boost the high by 1–2°C. Official observations and model runs show no significant heatwave or blocking pattern to push extremes higher, keeping probabilities for 35°C or above very low while favoring outcomes near the long-term seasonal norm.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 18 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 18 agosto?
33°C 57%
32°C 27%
34°C 18%
31°C 5%
NUOVO
$12,064 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,064 Vol.
18 ago 2026
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
27%
33°C
51%
34°C
18%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C o superiore
<1%
33°C 57%
32°C 27%
34°C 18%
31°C 5%
NUOVO
$12,064 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,064 Vol.
18 ago 2026
27°C o inferiore
$277 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$821 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,135 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,340 Vol.
5%
32°C
$898 Vol.
27%
33°C
$2,925 Vol.
51%
34°C
$1,593 Vol.
18%
35°C
$874 Vol.
4%
36°C
$1,441 Vol.
1%
37°C o superiore
$580 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on daytime maxima of 31–33°C for coastal Qingdao on August 18, aligning with typical August climatology where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity and moderate onshore flow. This positions 33°C as the market leader, with 32°C and 34°C as close alternatives, reflecting uncertainty in peak timing and any afternoon cloud or sea-breeze effects that could trim or boost the high by 1–2°C. Official observations and model runs show no significant heatwave or blocking pattern to push extremes higher, keeping probabilities for 35°C or above very low while favoring outcomes near the long-term seasonal norm.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$12,064Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on daytime maxima of 31–33°C for coastal Qingdao on August 18, aligning with typical August climatology where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity and moderate onshore flow. This positions 33°C as the market leader, with 32°C and 34°C as close alternatives, reflecting uncertainty in peak timing and any afternoon cloud or sea-breeze effects that could trim or boost the high by 1–2°C. Official observations and model runs show no significant heatwave or blocking pattern to push extremes higher, keeping probabilities for 35°C or above very low while favoring outcomes near the long-term seasonal norm.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,064Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on daytime maxima of 31–33°C for coastal Qingdao on August 18, aligning with typical August climatology where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity and moderate onshore flow. This positions 33°C as the market leader, with 32°C and 34°C as close alternatives, reflecting uncertainty in peak timing and any afternoon cloud or sea-breeze effects that could trim or boost the high by 1–2°C. Official observations and model runs show no significant heatwave or blocking pattern to push extremes higher, keeping probabilities for 35°C or above very low while favoring outcomes near the long-term seasonal norm.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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