Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center highlight persistent cloud cover, scattered heavy rain, and thunderstorms that are suppressing daytime warming in Moscow on September 5, 2026, with official guidance centering on highs of 16–18°C amid southwesterly winds shifting westerly at 6–11 m/s. Ensemble model runs align closely with the long-term September 5 average high of 18.5°C, though localized clearing or reduced rainfall intensity could briefly allow readings near 19°C before evening cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 18°C and 19°C because current conditions favor modest exceedance of the seasonal norm only if precipitation timing shifts, while the low odds on 20°C or higher reflect limited potential for significant solar heating under overcast skies. Real-time station observations will resolve the exact maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 5 settembre?
18°C 58%
19°C 41%
20°C 9%
21°C <1%
$29,145 Vol.
$29,145 Vol.
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
52%
19°C
41%
20°C
9%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
18°C 58%
19°C 41%
20°C 9%
21°C <1%
$29,145 Vol.
$29,145 Vol.
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
52%
19°C
41%
20°C
9%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center highlight persistent cloud cover, scattered heavy rain, and thunderstorms that are suppressing daytime warming in Moscow on September 5, 2026, with official guidance centering on highs of 16–18°C amid southwesterly winds shifting westerly at 6–11 m/s. Ensemble model runs align closely with the long-term September 5 average high of 18.5°C, though localized clearing or reduced rainfall intensity could briefly allow readings near 19°C before evening cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 18°C and 19°C because current conditions favor modest exceedance of the seasonal norm only if precipitation timing shifts, while the low odds on 20°C or higher reflect limited potential for significant solar heating under overcast skies. Real-time station observations will resolve the exact maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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