Recent forecasts for Milan on August 11, 2026, show high temperatures centered around 35–37°C, driven by typical late-summer high-pressure patterns over northern Italy combined with regional warmth. Model consensus from sources like BBC Weather and timeanddate.com points to sunny conditions with light winds, though scattered thunderstorms or increased cloud cover could cap the daily maximum. This range aligns with climatological peaks for the period while reflecting short-term variability in steering patterns and surface heating. Market-implied odds favor 36°C as the most likely outcome because it captures the central tendency amid modest forecast spread, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting historical rarity of sustained 38°C+ days without stronger heat advection. Updated model runs in the coming 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano l'11 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Milano l'11 agosto?
36°C 41%
37°C 29%
35°C 21%
34°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 ago 2026
32°C or below
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
11%
35°C
12%
36°C
41%
37°C
29%
38°C
12%
39°C
4%
40°C
3%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 41%
37°C 29%
35°C 21%
34°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 ago 2026
32°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
33°C
$12 Vol.
1%
34°C
$0 Vol.
11%
35°C
$5 Vol.
12%
36°C
$33 Vol.
41%
37°C
$0 Vol.
29%
38°C
$16 Vol.
12%
39°C
$255 Vol.
4%
40°C
$12 Vol.
3%
41°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Milan on August 11, 2026, show high temperatures centered around 35–37°C, driven by typical late-summer high-pressure patterns over northern Italy combined with regional warmth. Model consensus from sources like BBC Weather and timeanddate.com points to sunny conditions with light winds, though scattered thunderstorms or increased cloud cover could cap the daily maximum. This range aligns with climatological peaks for the period while reflecting short-term variability in steering patterns and surface heating. Market-implied odds favor 36°C as the most likely outcome because it captures the central tendency amid modest forecast spread, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting historical rarity of sustained 38°C+ days without stronger heat advection. Updated model runs in the coming 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$358Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Milan on August 11, 2026, show high temperatures centered around 35–37°C, driven by typical late-summer high-pressure patterns over northern Italy combined with regional warmth. Model consensus from sources like BBC Weather and timeanddate.com points to sunny conditions with light winds, though scattered thunderstorms or increased cloud cover could cap the daily maximum. This range aligns with climatological peaks for the period while reflecting short-term variability in steering patterns and surface heating. Market-implied odds favor 36°C as the most likely outcome because it captures the central tendency amid modest forecast spread, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting historical rarity of sustained 38°C+ days without stronger heat advection. Updated model runs in the coming 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$358Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Milan on August 11, 2026, show high temperatures centered around 35–37°C, driven by typical late-summer high-pressure patterns over northern Italy combined with regional warmth. Model consensus from sources like BBC Weather and timeanddate.com points to sunny conditions with light winds, though scattered thunderstorms or increased cloud cover could cap the daily maximum. This range aligns with climatological peaks for the period while reflecting short-term variability in steering patterns and surface heating. Market-implied odds favor 36°C as the most likely outcome because it captures the central tendency amid modest forecast spread, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting historical rarity of sustained 38°C+ days without stronger heat advection. Updated model runs in the coming 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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