Official Central Weather Administration forecasts project a daytime maximum of 31°C in Taipei on August 9 under persistent summer conditions with possible showers, placing the most likely outcomes near the market's leading probabilities for 30–32°C. Model consensus and steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon trough introduce modest uncertainty in peak heating, as afternoon cloud cover or brief rainfall could suppress temperatures by 1–2°C from climatological norms of 32–34°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity may amplify perceived warmth, yet official resolution relies on verified station maxima rather than feels-like values. Updated model runs and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei il 9 agosto?
31°C 22%
32°C 21%
30°C 20%
29°C 17%
$35,035 Vol.
$35,035 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
17%
30°C
20%
31°C
22%
32°C
21%
33°C
15%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 22%
32°C 21%
30°C 20%
29°C 17%
$35,035 Vol.
$35,035 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
17%
30°C
20%
31°C
22%
32°C
21%
33°C
15%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Central Weather Administration forecasts project a daytime maximum of 31°C in Taipei on August 9 under persistent summer conditions with possible showers, placing the most likely outcomes near the market's leading probabilities for 30–32°C. Model consensus and steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon trough introduce modest uncertainty in peak heating, as afternoon cloud cover or brief rainfall could suppress temperatures by 1–2°C from climatological norms of 32–34°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity may amplify perceived warmth, yet official resolution relies on verified station maxima rather than feels-like values. Updated model runs and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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