Latest official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting global models indicate Madrid’s August 9 maximum will likely reach 36–37°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental climate. These conditions align with late-summer patterns where average highs hover near 32–34°C, yet recent model runs and local urban heat-island effects support modest elevation above the climatological baseline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 58% implied probability for 37°C and 23.5% for 36°C, weighs this guidance against narrow uncertainty ranges typical of short-range summer forecasts, with minimal moisture or frontal activity expected to moderate temperatures before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 9 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 9 agosto?
37°C 60%
36°C 24%
38°C 13%
35°C 3%
NUOVO
$25,571 Vol.
NUOVO
$25,571 Vol.
9 ago 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
3%
36°C
24%
37°C
60%
38°C
13%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 60%
36°C 24%
38°C 13%
35°C 3%
NUOVO
$25,571 Vol.
NUOVO
$25,571 Vol.
9 ago 2026
32°C or below
$358 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$821 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,567 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,619 Vol.
3%
36°C
$4,792 Vol.
24%
37°C
$3,694 Vol.
60%
38°C
$4,281 Vol.
13%
39°C
$1,298 Vol.
1%
40°C
$1,084 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$693 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$365 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting global models indicate Madrid’s August 9 maximum will likely reach 36–37°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental climate. These conditions align with late-summer patterns where average highs hover near 32–34°C, yet recent model runs and local urban heat-island effects support modest elevation above the climatological baseline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 58% implied probability for 37°C and 23.5% for 36°C, weighs this guidance against narrow uncertainty ranges typical of short-range summer forecasts, with minimal moisture or frontal activity expected to moderate temperatures before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$25,571Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting global models indicate Madrid’s August 9 maximum will likely reach 36–37°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental climate. These conditions align with late-summer patterns where average highs hover near 32–34°C, yet recent model runs and local urban heat-island effects support modest elevation above the climatological baseline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 58% implied probability for 37°C and 23.5% for 36°C, weighs this guidance against narrow uncertainty ranges typical of short-range summer forecasts, with minimal moisture or frontal activity expected to moderate temperatures before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,571Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting global models indicate Madrid’s August 9 maximum will likely reach 36–37°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental climate. These conditions align with late-summer patterns where average highs hover near 32–34°C, yet recent model runs and local urban heat-island effects support modest elevation above the climatological baseline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 58% implied probability for 37°C and 23.5% for 36°C, weighs this guidance against narrow uncertainty ranges typical of short-range summer forecasts, with minimal moisture or frontal activity expected to moderate temperatures before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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