Recent forecast models from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate Mexico City will see a daytime high near 26–27°C on August 4, driven by typical early-August rainy-season patterns: moderate subtropical moisture, afternoon cloud build-up, and scattered showers that cap peak temperatures while preventing cooler outbreaks. These conditions align with the 74–77°F (23–25°C) range shown in extended guidance, yet trader consensus favors the slightly warmer 27°C bin as the most probable outcome given recent model runs and the city’s urban heat-island effect at 2,240 m elevation. With resolution based on official daily maximum observations, probabilities remain fluid until final readings are confirmed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 4 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 4 agosto?
27°C 56%
26°C 23%
28°C 23%
25°C 2.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
23%
27°C
56%
28°C
23%
29°C
1%
30°C o superiore
1%
27°C 56%
26°C 23%
28°C 23%
25°C 2.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
$347 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$427 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$488 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$541 Vol.
1%
24°C
$795 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,463 Vol.
2%
26°C
$1,060 Vol.
23%
27°C
$2,697 Vol.
56%
28°C
$876 Vol.
23%
29°C
$708 Vol.
1%
30°C o superiore
$153 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate Mexico City will see a daytime high near 26–27°C on August 4, driven by typical early-August rainy-season patterns: moderate subtropical moisture, afternoon cloud build-up, and scattered showers that cap peak temperatures while preventing cooler outbreaks. These conditions align with the 74–77°F (23–25°C) range shown in extended guidance, yet trader consensus favors the slightly warmer 27°C bin as the most probable outcome given recent model runs and the city’s urban heat-island effect at 2,240 m elevation. With resolution based on official daily maximum observations, probabilities remain fluid until final readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$9,556Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate Mexico City will see a daytime high near 26–27°C on August 4, driven by typical early-August rainy-season patterns: moderate subtropical moisture, afternoon cloud build-up, and scattered showers that cap peak temperatures while preventing cooler outbreaks. These conditions align with the 74–77°F (23–25°C) range shown in extended guidance, yet trader consensus favors the slightly warmer 27°C bin as the most probable outcome given recent model runs and the city’s urban heat-island effect at 2,240 m elevation. With resolution based on official daily maximum observations, probabilities remain fluid until final readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,556Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate Mexico City will see a daytime high near 26–27°C on August 4, driven by typical early-August rainy-season patterns: moderate subtropical moisture, afternoon cloud build-up, and scattered showers that cap peak temperatures while preventing cooler outbreaks. These conditions align with the 74–77°F (23–25°C) range shown in extended guidance, yet trader consensus favors the slightly warmer 27°C bin as the most probable outcome given recent model runs and the city’s urban heat-island effect at 2,240 m elevation. With resolution based on official daily maximum observations, probabilities remain fluid until final readings are confirmed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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