Trader sentiment centers on a moderate high near 77°F at Los Angeles International Airport, reflecting the National Weather Service forecast of patchy morning fog clearing to mostly sunny conditions with a high around 77–78°F under a persistent marine layer and onshore flow. This setup, typical for early August along the coast, limits daytime heating compared to inland areas, aligning with the 55.5% implied probability for 76–77°F and supporting the 25% chance of 74–75°F if cloud cover lingers. Recent model runs show little deviation from seasonal norms, with no strengthening high pressure or offshore winds to drive warmer outcomes above 78°F, which traders price at just 17%. Updated NWS briefings and buoy data on sea-surface temperatures will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 4 agosto?
76-77°F 56%
74-75°F 26%
78-79°F 17%
72-73°F 3.5%
$27,568 Vol.
$27,568 Vol.
69°F o inferiore
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
56%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F o superiore
<1%
76-77°F 56%
74-75°F 26%
78-79°F 17%
72-73°F 3.5%
$27,568 Vol.
$27,568 Vol.
69°F o inferiore
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
56%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on a moderate high near 77°F at Los Angeles International Airport, reflecting the National Weather Service forecast of patchy morning fog clearing to mostly sunny conditions with a high around 77–78°F under a persistent marine layer and onshore flow. This setup, typical for early August along the coast, limits daytime heating compared to inland areas, aligning with the 55.5% implied probability for 76–77°F and supporting the 25% chance of 74–75°F if cloud cover lingers. Recent model runs show little deviation from seasonal norms, with no strengthening high pressure or offshore winds to drive warmer outcomes above 78°F, which traders price at just 17%. Updated NWS briefings and buoy data on sea-surface temperatures will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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