Official meteorological observations confirm Ankara reached a daily maximum of 32°C on September 12 under clear skies and light westerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms for early autumn in the Anatolian plateau where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. Multiple forecast models converged on this value with minimal spread, and real-time station data from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service aligned precisely with the 32°C threshold throughout the afternoon peak. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects this verified outcome, as resolution criteria rely on official highest-temperature readings rather than forecasts. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-hoc data revision could alter the result, both of which remain statistically improbable given the consistency across independent monitoring networks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 12 settembre?
32°C 100.0%
25°C o inferiore <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$31,058 Vol.
$31,058 Vol.
12 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Sì
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C o superiore
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C o inferiore <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$31,058 Vol.
$31,058 Vol.
12 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
$188 Vol.
No
26°C
$80 Vol.
No
27°C
$85 Vol.
No
28°C
$80 Vol.
No
29°C
$80 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,460 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,142 Vol.
No
32°C
$9,523 Vol.
Sì
33°C
$6,040 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,394 Vol.
No
35°C o superiore
$986 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations confirm Ankara reached a daily maximum of 32°C on September 12 under clear skies and light westerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms for early autumn in the Anatolian plateau where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. Multiple forecast models converged on this value with minimal spread, and real-time station data from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service aligned precisely with the 32°C threshold throughout the afternoon peak. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects this verified outcome, as resolution criteria rely on official highest-temperature readings rather than forecasts. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-hoc data revision could alter the result, both of which remain statistically improbable given the consistency across independent monitoring networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$31,058Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations confirm Ankara reached a daily maximum of 32°C on September 12 under clear skies and light westerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms for early autumn in the Anatolian plateau where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. Multiple forecast models converged on this value with minimal spread, and real-time station data from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service aligned precisely with the 32°C threshold throughout the afternoon peak. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects this verified outcome, as resolution criteria rely on official highest-temperature readings rather than forecasts. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-hoc data revision could alter the result, both of which remain statistically improbable given the consistency across independent monitoring networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,058Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official meteorological observations confirm Ankara reached a daily maximum of 32°C on September 12 under clear skies and light westerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms for early autumn in the Anatolian plateau where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. Multiple forecast models converged on this value with minimal spread, and real-time station data from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service aligned precisely with the 32°C threshold throughout the afternoon peak. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects this verified outcome, as resolution criteria rely on official highest-temperature readings rather than forecasts. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-hoc data revision could alter the result, both of which remain statistically improbable given the consistency across independent monitoring networks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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