Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Ankara will reach a daily maximum near 30°C on August 18, with ensemble runs showing only marginal differences in peak surface heating driven by light northeasterly winds, low humidity around 30-40%, and mostly clear skies allowing strong solar insolation. The near-even split between 29°C and 30°C in trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in micro-scale factors such as afternoon cloud cover or slight shifts in the thermal boundary layer that can alter the recorded high by 1°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet recent cooling trends and model consensus have narrowed expectations, with official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service serving as the resolution benchmark. Updated short-range guidance later today will clarify whether conditions favor the higher or lower outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 18 agosto?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 18 agosto?
30°C 54%
29°C 44%
31°C 3%
28°C 2%
$16,854 Vol.
$16,854 Vol.
18 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
44%
30°C
54%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 54%
29°C 44%
31°C 3%
28°C 2%
$16,854 Vol.
$16,854 Vol.
18 ago 2026
25°C or below
$346 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$579 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$762 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,599 Vol.
2%
29°C
$4,101 Vol.
44%
30°C
$3,530 Vol.
54%
31°C
$2,585 Vol.
3%
32°C
$1,978 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$659 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$446 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Ankara will reach a daily maximum near 30°C on August 18, with ensemble runs showing only marginal differences in peak surface heating driven by light northeasterly winds, low humidity around 30-40%, and mostly clear skies allowing strong solar insolation. The near-even split between 29°C and 30°C in trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in micro-scale factors such as afternoon cloud cover or slight shifts in the thermal boundary layer that can alter the recorded high by 1°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet recent cooling trends and model consensus have narrowed expectations, with official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service serving as the resolution benchmark. Updated short-range guidance later today will clarify whether conditions favor the higher or lower outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$16,854Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Ankara will reach a daily maximum near 30°C on August 18, with ensemble runs showing only marginal differences in peak surface heating driven by light northeasterly winds, low humidity around 30-40%, and mostly clear skies allowing strong solar insolation. The near-even split between 29°C and 30°C in trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in micro-scale factors such as afternoon cloud cover or slight shifts in the thermal boundary layer that can alter the recorded high by 1°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet recent cooling trends and model consensus have narrowed expectations, with official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service serving as the resolution benchmark. Updated short-range guidance later today will clarify whether conditions favor the higher or lower outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,854Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Ankara will reach a daily maximum near 30°C on August 18, with ensemble runs showing only marginal differences in peak surface heating driven by light northeasterly winds, low humidity around 30-40%, and mostly clear skies allowing strong solar insolation. The near-even split between 29°C and 30°C in trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in micro-scale factors such as afternoon cloud cover or slight shifts in the thermal boundary layer that can alter the recorded high by 1°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet recent cooling trends and model consensus have narrowed expectations, with official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service serving as the resolution benchmark. Updated short-range guidance later today will clarify whether conditions favor the higher or lower outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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