Geopolitical tensions from U.S. and Israeli operations against Iran since February 2026 have driven sharp gasoline price increases exceeding $1.50 per gallon by May, prompting President Trump and members of both parties in Congress to propose a temporary federal gas tax suspension. Multiple bills, including the Gas Prices Relief Act through October 1, 2026, and shorter 90-day measures, were introduced in spring 2026 but have not advanced, reflecting concerns over lost Highway Trust Fund revenue estimated in the billions. No suspension has taken effect, as lawmakers weigh consumer relief against infrastructure funding needs. Trader probabilities on specific resolution dates remain low amid legislative gridlock, with any future action likely tied to ongoing price volatility or end-of-session votes before November deadlines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$32,488 Vol.
2 nov 2026
November 2
9%
$32,488 Vol.
November 2
$10,122 Vol.
9%
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geopolitical tensions from U.S. and Israeli operations against Iran since February 2026 have driven sharp gasoline price increases exceeding $1.50 per gallon by May, prompting President Trump and members of both parties in Congress to propose a temporary federal gas tax suspension. Multiple bills, including the Gas Prices Relief Act through October 1, 2026, and shorter 90-day measures, were introduced in spring 2026 but have not advanced, reflecting concerns over lost Highway Trust Fund revenue estimated in the billions. No suspension has taken effect, as lawmakers weigh consumer relief against infrastructure funding needs. Trader probabilities on specific resolution dates remain low amid legislative gridlock, with any future action likely tied to ongoing price volatility or end-of-session votes before November deadlines.
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Volume
$32,488Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geopolitical tensions from U.S. and Israeli operations against Iran since February 2026 have driven sharp gasoline price increases exceeding $1.50 per gallon by May, prompting President Trump and members of both parties in Congress to propose a temporary federal gas tax suspension. Multiple bills, including the Gas Prices Relief Act through October 1, 2026, and shorter 90-day measures, were introduced in spring 2026 but have not advanced, reflecting concerns over lost Highway Trust Fund revenue estimated in the billions. No suspension has taken effect, as lawmakers weigh consumer relief against infrastructure funding needs. Trader probabilities on specific resolution dates remain low amid legislative gridlock, with any future action likely tied to ongoing price volatility or end-of-session votes before November deadlines.
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,488Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions from U.S. and Israeli operations against Iran since February 2026 have driven sharp gasoline price increases exceeding $1.50 per gallon by May, prompting President Trump and members of both parties in Congress to propose a temporary federal gas tax suspension. Multiple bills, including the Gas Prices Relief Act through October 1, 2026, and shorter 90-day measures, were introduced in spring 2026 but have not advanced, reflecting concerns over lost Highway Trust Fund revenue estimated in the billions. No suspension has taken effect, as lawmakers weigh consumer relief against infrastructure funding needs. Trader probabilities on specific resolution dates remain low amid legislative gridlock, with any future action likely tied to ongoing price volatility or end-of-session votes before November deadlines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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