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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Politica·Elezioni Globali

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Politica·Elezioni Globali

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$398,309 Vol.

16 apr 2027
Polymarket

$398,309 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$9,197 Vol.

97%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$32,014 Vol.

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$7,144 Vol.

86%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$4,376 Vol.

84%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$17,564 Vol.

84%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$12,178 Vol.

75%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$11,536 Vol.

74%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$10,756 Vol.

68%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$13,486 Vol.

63%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,908 Vol.

57%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$16,984 Vol.

39%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$15,999 Vol.

32%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$2,378 Vol.

28%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$11,814 Vol.

26%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$10,752 Vol.

26%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$7,519 Vol.

15%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$30,094 Vol.

15%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$4,312 Vol.

14%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$7,588 Vol.

13%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$26,494 Vol.

12%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$10,624 Vol.

11%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$1,593 Vol.

8%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$2,820 Vol.

8%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$10,805 Vol.

7%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,548 Vol.

7%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$13,590 Vol.

7%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$3,031 Vol.

6%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$2,137 Vol.

6%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$2,765 Vol.

6%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$1,937 Vol.

6%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,639 Vol.

5%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$7,546 Vol.

5%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$1,221 Vol.

5%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$6,904 Vol.

5%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,235 Vol.

5%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$3,829 Vol.

4%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$4,127 Vol.

4%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$4,037 Vol.

4%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$10,873 Vol.

4%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$2,770 Vol.

4%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$1,348 Vol.

4%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$9,388 Vol.

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$21,369 Vol.

3%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$5,891 Vol.

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$3,403 Vol.

2%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,786 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's 2027 presidential election, scheduled for April and May, features a two-round system and bars incumbent Emmanuel Macron from a third term, opening the field to a wide range of contenders. Recent polls show Marine Le Pen of Rassemblement National leading first-round voting intentions at 32-36 percent after an appeals court reduced her prior ineligibility sentence in July 2026, enabling her candidacy. Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise follows in most scenarios at 15-17 percent, while center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal register lower but competitive shares. Over thirty candidates have declared, including Bruno Retailleau of Les Républicains, with a United Left primary set for October 2026 and ongoing party negotiations shaping final ballots amid polarized voter trends.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$398,309
Data di fine
17 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's 2027 presidential election, scheduled for April and May, features a two-round system and bars incumbent Emmanuel Macron from a third term, opening the field to a wide range of contenders. Recent polls show Marine Le Pen of Rassemblement National leading first-round voting intentions at 32-36 percent after an appeals court reduced her prior ineligibility sentence in July 2026, enabling her candidacy. Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise follows in most scenarios at 15-17 percent, while center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal register lower but competitive shares. Over thirty candidates have declared, including Bruno Retailleau of Les Républicains, with a United Left primary set for October 2026 and ongoing party negotiations shaping final ballots amid polarized voter trends.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$398,309
Data di fine
17 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

Correlati

icon for Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

88%
icon for Édouard Philippe, ma non Gabriel Attal, sarà candidato alle elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027?

Édouard Philippe, ma non Gabriel Attal, sarà candidato alle elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027?

67%
Sì
icon for Marine Le Pen vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027?

Marine Le Pen vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027?

36%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 46+ possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" a 97%, seguito da "Marine Le Pen" a 88%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 97¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ha generato $398.3K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 22, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?", esplora i 46+ esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" è "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" a 97%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Marine Le Pen" a 88%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.