Iran's legal framework, grounded in Shia Islamic Sharia principles and subject to review by the Guardian Council, criminalizes same-sex relations under the Islamic Penal Code with penalties including flogging and execution, rendering recognition of same-sex marriage incompatible with the constitution and institutional structure. The theocratic system under Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, combined with conservative majorities in the Majlis, has produced no legislative proposals, parliamentary debates, or policy reforms on this issue in recent periods. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" aligns with these entrenched barriers and the absence of domestic advocacy or external diplomatic pressure capable of prompting change. Only an improbable regime transition or fundamental constitutional overhaul before the December 2026 resolution date could theoretically shift the trajectory.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui2% peluang
$74,606 Vol.
$74,606 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
2% peluang
$74,606 Vol.
$74,606 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's legal framework, grounded in Shia Islamic Sharia principles and subject to review by the Guardian Council, criminalizes same-sex relations under the Islamic Penal Code with penalties including flogging and execution, rendering recognition of same-sex marriage incompatible with the constitution and institutional structure. The theocratic system under Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, combined with conservative majorities in the Majlis, has produced no legislative proposals, parliamentary debates, or policy reforms on this issue in recent periods. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" aligns with these entrenched barriers and the absence of domestic advocacy or external diplomatic pressure capable of prompting change. Only an improbable regime transition or fundamental constitutional overhaul before the December 2026 resolution date could theoretically shift the trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
Volume
$74,606Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's legal framework, grounded in Shia Islamic Sharia principles and subject to review by the Guardian Council, criminalizes same-sex relations under the Islamic Penal Code with penalties including flogging and execution, rendering recognition of same-sex marriage incompatible with the constitution and institutional structure. The theocratic system under Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, combined with conservative majorities in the Majlis, has produced no legislative proposals, parliamentary debates, or policy reforms on this issue in recent periods. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" aligns with these entrenched barriers and the absence of domestic advocacy or external diplomatic pressure capable of prompting change. Only an improbable regime transition or fundamental constitutional overhaul before the December 2026 resolution date could theoretically shift the trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$74,606Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's legal framework, grounded in Shia Islamic Sharia principles and subject to review by the Guardian Council, criminalizes same-sex relations under the Islamic Penal Code with penalties including flogging and execution, rendering recognition of same-sex marriage incompatible with the constitution and institutional structure. The theocratic system under Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, combined with conservative majorities in the Majlis, has produced no legislative proposals, parliamentary debates, or policy reforms on this issue in recent periods. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" aligns with these entrenched barriers and the absence of domestic advocacy or external diplomatic pressure capable of prompting change. Only an improbable regime transition or fundamental constitutional overhaul before the December 2026 resolution date could theoretically shift the trajectory.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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