Elevated crude oil prices near $83–87 per barrel, supported by ongoing instability in the Strait of Hormuz and reduced Russian refinery output, remain the dominant driver pushing the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to record late-August levels around $4.08–$4.14 per gallon. Tight inventories, with draws exceeding seasonal norms, and near-maximum refinery utilization have compounded supply constraints, while warmer weather has sustained power-sector demand without fully offsetting summer driving patterns. Futures curves reflect limited downside through September, with traders monitoring weekly EIA storage data, Labor Day consumption, and any shifts in geopolitical risk premiums that could alter the forward path for WTI and retail margins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBARU
Sep 30, 2026
↑ $4.50
42%
↑ $4.40
48%
↑ $4.30
44%
↑ $4.20
56%
↓ $4.00
54%
↓ $3.90
47%
↓ $3.70
39%
↓ $3.50
34%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $4.50
$0 Vol.
42%
↑ $4.40
$0 Vol.
48%
↑ $4.30
$0 Vol.
44%
↑ $4.20
$0 Vol.
56%
↓ $4.00
$0 Vol.
54%
↓ $3.90
$0 Vol.
47%
↓ $3.70
$0 Vol.
39%
↓ $3.50
$0 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil prices near $83–87 per barrel, supported by ongoing instability in the Strait of Hormuz and reduced Russian refinery output, remain the dominant driver pushing the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to record late-August levels around $4.08–$4.14 per gallon. Tight inventories, with draws exceeding seasonal norms, and near-maximum refinery utilization have compounded supply constraints, while warmer weather has sustained power-sector demand without fully offsetting summer driving patterns. Futures curves reflect limited downside through September, with traders monitoring weekly EIA storage data, Labor Day consumption, and any shifts in geopolitical risk premiums that could alter the forward path for WTI and retail margins.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil prices near $83–87 per barrel, supported by ongoing instability in the Strait of Hormuz and reduced Russian refinery output, remain the dominant driver pushing the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to record late-August levels around $4.08–$4.14 per gallon. Tight inventories, with draws exceeding seasonal norms, and near-maximum refinery utilization have compounded supply constraints, while warmer weather has sustained power-sector demand without fully offsetting summer driving patterns. Futures curves reflect limited downside through September, with traders monitoring weekly EIA storage data, Labor Day consumption, and any shifts in geopolitical risk premiums that could alter the forward path for WTI and retail margins.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated crude oil prices near $83–87 per barrel, supported by ongoing instability in the Strait of Hormuz and reduced Russian refinery output, remain the dominant driver pushing the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to record late-August levels around $4.08–$4.14 per gallon. Tight inventories, with draws exceeding seasonal norms, and near-maximum refinery utilization have compounded supply constraints, while warmer weather has sustained power-sector demand without fully offsetting summer driving patterns. Futures curves reflect limited downside through September, with traders monitoring weekly EIA storage data, Labor Day consumption, and any shifts in geopolitical risk premiums that could alter the forward path for WTI and retail margins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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