US sanctions enforcement and renewed economic isolation measures, including port blockades and pressure on remaining trade partners, have driven the Iranian rial to record free-market lows near 2.2 million per USD amid high inflation and sharply reduced oil export revenues. Ongoing regional hostilities and associated oil price volatility add further pressure on foreign currency inflows. Trader consensus across the 2.0-3.0 million range reflects uncertainty over whether these headwinds will accelerate depreciation or whether diplomatic channels, Central Bank interventions, or shifts in enforcement could stabilize the rate by year-end. Key upcoming catalysts include any escalation in sanctions implementation or renewed negotiations that could alter hard-currency access.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui2.0 - 2.5M 36%
2.5 - 3.0M 28%
<2.0M 19%
3.0 - 3.5M 15%
<2.0M
19%
2.0 - 2.5M
36%
2.5 - 3.0M
28%
3.0 - 3.5M
15%
3.5 - 4.0M
6%
4.0M+
5%
2.0 - 2.5M 36%
2.5 - 3.0M 28%
<2.0M 19%
3.0 - 3.5M 15%
<2.0M
19%
2.0 - 2.5M
36%
2.5 - 3.0M
28%
3.0 - 3.5M
15%
3.5 - 4.0M
6%
4.0M+
5%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...US sanctions enforcement and renewed economic isolation measures, including port blockades and pressure on remaining trade partners, have driven the Iranian rial to record free-market lows near 2.2 million per USD amid high inflation and sharply reduced oil export revenues. Ongoing regional hostilities and associated oil price volatility add further pressure on foreign currency inflows. Trader consensus across the 2.0-3.0 million range reflects uncertainty over whether these headwinds will accelerate depreciation or whether diplomatic channels, Central Bank interventions, or shifts in enforcement could stabilize the rate by year-end. Key upcoming catalysts include any escalation in sanctions implementation or renewed negotiations that could alter hard-currency access.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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