**Recent US sanctions escalation under "Operation Economic Outcast," launched around August 24, 2026, has driven sharp depreciation of the Iranian rial on free-market channels, pushing USD/IRR toward or above 2.06–2.08 million.** This campaign targets Iran's financial lifelines, including secondary sanctions risks in sectors like shipping, aviation, gold, and digital assets, compounding effects from the earlier 2026 US-Israel conflict, naval blockade, and expired June MoU oil waivers. Iran's free-market rate has already weakened notably in August amid 66% annual inflation, sharply lower oil shipments to China, and a reported 35% drop in foreign trade. Iranian officials have described the moves as temporary while acknowledging economic strain, with Supreme Leader statements urging action on inflation and prices. Traders price the highest-probability buckets (2.0–2.2M+) highest because these pressures show no immediate reversal before end-September, though any renewed diplomacy or sanctions relief could moderate further slides. Current street rates near 2.06M reflect the latest sanctions-driven momentum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiUSD x Iranian rials End of September?
2.2M+ 43%
2.0-2.1M 34%
1.9-2.0M 13%
2.1-2.2M 11.5%
<1.7M
1%
1.7-1.8M
4%
1.8-1.9M
3%
1.9-2.0M
13%
2.0-2.1M
34%
2.1-2.2M
12%
2.2M+
43%
2.2M+ 43%
2.0-2.1M 34%
1.9-2.0M 13%
2.1-2.2M 11.5%
<1.7M
1%
1.7-1.8M
4%
1.8-1.9M
3%
1.9-2.0M
13%
2.0-2.1M
34%
2.1-2.2M
12%
2.2M+
43%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent US sanctions escalation under "Operation Economic Outcast," launched around August 24, 2026, has driven sharp depreciation of the Iranian rial on free-market channels, pushing USD/IRR toward or above 2.06–2.08 million.** This campaign targets Iran's financial lifelines, including secondary sanctions risks in sectors like shipping, aviation, gold, and digital assets, compounding effects from the earlier 2026 US-Israel conflict, naval blockade, and expired June MoU oil waivers. Iran's free-market rate has already weakened notably in August amid 66% annual inflation, sharply lower oil shipments to China, and a reported 35% drop in foreign trade. Iranian officials have described the moves as temporary while acknowledging economic strain, with Supreme Leader statements urging action on inflation and prices. Traders price the highest-probability buckets (2.0–2.2M+) highest because these pressures show no immediate reversal before end-September, though any renewed diplomacy or sanctions relief could moderate further slides. Current street rates near 2.06M reflect the latest sanctions-driven momentum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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