Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada remains the dominant driver of USD/CAD, with the BoC holding its target rate at 2.25% amid subdued Canadian growth and inflation near target, while Fed easing expectations have narrowed but not eliminated the yield advantage supporting the greenback. Recent strong Canadian employment prints and firmer oil prices have lent support to the loonie, keeping the pair range-bound near 1.38–1.40 in August 2026. Tariff uncertainty and USMCA renegotiation risks continue to weigh on CAD sentiment, while upcoming inflation releases, BoC and FOMC communications, and energy market developments will shape near-term implied probabilities for any breach of key 2026 thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?
$14,231 Vol.
↑1.70
4%
↑1.60
19%
↑1.55
12%
↑1.50
50%
↑1.45
67%
↓1.33
51%
↓1.30
49%
↓1.25
46%
↓1.20
39%
↓1.10
37%
$14,231 Vol.
↑1.70
4%
↑1.60
19%
↑1.55
12%
↑1.50
50%
↑1.45
67%
↓1.33
51%
↓1.30
49%
↓1.25
46%
↓1.20
39%
↓1.10
37%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada remains the dominant driver of USD/CAD, with the BoC holding its target rate at 2.25% amid subdued Canadian growth and inflation near target, while Fed easing expectations have narrowed but not eliminated the yield advantage supporting the greenback. Recent strong Canadian employment prints and firmer oil prices have lent support to the loonie, keeping the pair range-bound near 1.38–1.40 in August 2026. Tariff uncertainty and USMCA renegotiation risks continue to weigh on CAD sentiment, while upcoming inflation releases, BoC and FOMC communications, and energy market developments will shape near-term implied probabilities for any breach of key 2026 thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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