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icon for Partai mana yang akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam Pemilihan Parlemen Rusia?
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilihan Umum Global

Partai mana yang akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam Pemilihan Parlemen Rusia?

icon for Partai mana yang akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam Pemilihan Parlemen Rusia?
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilihan Umum Global

Partai mana yang akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam Pemilihan Parlemen Rusia?

Rusia Bersatu (ER) 70%

New People (NL) 24.2%

Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR) 4.5%

Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF) 1.4%

Polymarket

$24,959,251 Vol.

Rusia Bersatu (ER) 70%

New People (NL) 24.2%

Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR) 4.5%

Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF) 1.4%

Polymarket

$24,959,251 Vol.

icon for Rusia Bersatu (ER)

Rusia Bersatu (ER)

$9,108,699 Vol.

70%

icon for New People (NL)

New People (NL)

$2,608,737 Vol.

24%

icon for Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR)

Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR)

$3,578,756 Vol.

4%

icon for Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF)

Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF)

$1,708,581 Vol.

1%

icon for Yabloko

Yabloko

$1,653,647 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$2,878,198 Vol.

<1%

icon for A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

$2,110,847 Vol.

<1%

icon for Platform Sipil (GP)

Platform Sipil (GP)

$1,311,787 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its incumbency advantages, extensive regional organization, and control over candidate registration and media access in a managed multi-party system. Kremlin-aligned polls from recent months consistently show the party leading vote intentions by wide margins, supported by its nomination of high-profile figures and war veterans, while the mixed electoral system favors established structures in single-member districts. New People registers the next-highest implied probability among systemic options, reflecting modest polling gains among urban and younger voters and its distinct branding relative to older opposition parties. LDPR, KPRF, and smaller registered parties trail, constrained by lower visibility and historical seat shares. The three-day voting format and procedural barriers further reinforce expectations of continuity in seat allocation.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$24,959,251
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its incumbency advantages, extensive regional organization, and control over candidate registration and media access in a managed multi-party system. Kremlin-aligned polls from recent months consistently show the party leading vote intentions by wide margins, supported by its nomination of high-profile figures and war veterans, while the mixed electoral system favors established structures in single-member districts. New People registers the next-highest implied probability among systemic options, reflecting modest polling gains among urban and younger voters and its distinct branding relative to older opposition parties. LDPR, KPRF, and smaller registered parties trail, constrained by lower visibility and historical seat shares. The three-day voting format and procedural barriers further reinforce expectations of continuity in seat allocation.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$24,959,251
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Terkait

icon for Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

98%
icon for Apakah Rusia Bersatu (ER) akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan parlemen Rusia berikutnya?

Apakah Rusia Bersatu (ER) akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan parlemen Rusia berikutnya?

99%
Ya
icon for Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

47%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Partai mana yang akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam Pemilihan Parlemen Rusia?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Rusia Bersatu (ER)" di 70%, diikuti oleh "New People (NL)" di 24%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 70¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 70% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Partai mana yang akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam Pemilihan Parlemen Rusia?" telah menghasilkan $25 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 7, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Partai mana yang akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam Pemilihan Parlemen Rusia?," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Partai mana yang akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam Pemilihan Parlemen Rusia?" adalah "Rusia Bersatu (ER)" di 70%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 70% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "New People (NL)" di 24%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Partai mana yang akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam Pemilihan Parlemen Rusia?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.