Recent polls for the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place the CDU at 22–24 percent, with the latest August readings from Pollytix and INSA at 22–23 percent. This marks a continued decline for the party from mid-20s levels earlier in 2026 and well below its 37 percent result in 2021. The AfD remains dominant at 41–43 percent, drawing support away from the CDU amid a fragmented field where the SPD, Linke, and smaller parties hover near or below the 5 percent threshold. The shift to Sven Schulze as CDU lead candidate and Minister-President has not reversed the trend in voter intention surveys. With the election weeks away and CDU figures clustered at or below the 23 percent line, traders assign a modest edge to the under outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOver
Over
This market will resolve to “Over” if CDU wins at least 23% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if CDU wins less than 23% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Over” if CDU wins at least 23% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if CDU wins less than 23% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls for the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place the CDU at 22–24 percent, with the latest August readings from Pollytix and INSA at 22–23 percent. This marks a continued decline for the party from mid-20s levels earlier in 2026 and well below its 37 percent result in 2021. The AfD remains dominant at 41–43 percent, drawing support away from the CDU amid a fragmented field where the SPD, Linke, and smaller parties hover near or below the 5 percent threshold. The shift to Sven Schulze as CDU lead candidate and Minister-President has not reversed the trend in voter intention surveys. With the election weeks away and CDU figures clustered at or below the 23 percent line, traders assign a modest edge to the under outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan