The recent Electoral Court ruling invalidating the May 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election results due to corrupt practices by the top two candidates has reset the contest, creating a fresh field of contenders including independents and nominees from FAST and HRPP. This procedural reset, combined with Samoa's party-hopping rules and fragmented local support across villages, has kept probabilities evenly matched across listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over nomination timelines, campaign focus on constituency infrastructure and cost-of-living concerns, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner ahead of the next poll. Scheduled candidate confirmations and any late endorsements could shift alignments before voting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 84%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 84%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 84%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 84%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
84%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
84%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
84%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
84%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 84%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 84%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 84%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 84%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
$0 Vol.
84%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
$0 Vol.
84%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
$0 Vol.
84%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
$0 Vol.
84%
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The recent Electoral Court ruling invalidating the May 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election results due to corrupt practices by the top two candidates has reset the contest, creating a fresh field of contenders including independents and nominees from FAST and HRPP. This procedural reset, combined with Samoa's party-hopping rules and fragmented local support across villages, has kept probabilities evenly matched across listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over nomination timelines, campaign focus on constituency infrastructure and cost-of-living concerns, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner ahead of the next poll. Scheduled candidate confirmations and any late endorsements could shift alignments before voting.
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The recent Electoral Court ruling invalidating the May 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election results due to corrupt practices by the top two candidates has reset the contest, creating a fresh field of contenders including independents and nominees from FAST and HRPP. This procedural reset, combined with Samoa's party-hopping rules and fragmented local support across villages, has kept probabilities evenly matched across listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over nomination timelines, campaign focus on constituency infrastructure and cost-of-living concerns, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner ahead of the next poll. Scheduled candidate confirmations and any late endorsements could shift alignments before voting.
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The recent Electoral Court ruling invalidating the May 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election results due to corrupt practices by the top two candidates has reset the contest, creating a fresh field of contenders including independents and nominees from FAST and HRPP. This procedural reset, combined with Samoa's party-hopping rules and fragmented local support across villages, has kept probabilities evenly matched across listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over nomination timelines, campaign focus on constituency infrastructure and cost-of-living concerns, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner ahead of the next poll. Scheduled candidate confirmations and any late endorsements could shift alignments before voting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
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