Republican majorities in Congress have blocked advancement of multiple impeachment resolutions, including H.Res.939, which was tabled in late 2025. Calls to invoke the 25th Amendment surfaced in April 2026 after presidential statements regarding Iran, yet these efforts lacked the bipartisan support or cabinet action required for removal. Historical patterns show presidents rarely face successful conviction by a two-thirds Senate vote, and no midterm shifts or other catalysts have altered this threshold before 2027. Traders price the "No" outcome at 94.5% because structural barriers and party control continue to outweigh episodic opposition.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTrump keluar sebagai Presiden sebelum 2027?
Trump keluar sebagai Presiden sebelum 2027?
Ya
6% peluang
$10,752,876 Vol.
$10,752,876 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Ya
6% peluang
$10,752,876 Vol.
$10,752,876 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in Congress have blocked advancement of multiple impeachment resolutions, including H.Res.939, which was tabled in late 2025. Calls to invoke the 25th Amendment surfaced in April 2026 after presidential statements regarding Iran, yet these efforts lacked the bipartisan support or cabinet action required for removal. Historical patterns show presidents rarely face successful conviction by a two-thirds Senate vote, and no midterm shifts or other catalysts have altered this threshold before 2027. Traders price the "No" outcome at 94.5% because structural barriers and party control continue to outweigh episodic opposition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$10,752,876Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in Congress have blocked advancement of multiple impeachment resolutions, including H.Res.939, which was tabled in late 2025. Calls to invoke the 25th Amendment surfaced in April 2026 after presidential statements regarding Iran, yet these efforts lacked the bipartisan support or cabinet action required for removal. Historical patterns show presidents rarely face successful conviction by a two-thirds Senate vote, and no midterm shifts or other catalysts have altered this threshold before 2027. Traders price the "No" outcome at 94.5% because structural barriers and party control continue to outweigh episodic opposition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,752,876Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in Congress have blocked advancement of multiple impeachment resolutions, including H.Res.939, which was tabled in late 2025. Calls to invoke the 25th Amendment surfaced in April 2026 after presidential statements regarding Iran, yet these efforts lacked the bipartisan support or cabinet action required for removal. Historical patterns show presidents rarely face successful conviction by a two-thirds Senate vote, and no midterm shifts or other catalysts have altered this threshold before 2027. Traders price the "No" outcome at 94.5% because structural barriers and party control continue to outweigh episodic opposition.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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