Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X, averaging 10–20 updates daily amid ongoing AI and SpaceX commentary, anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 tweet bracket for the three-day window, narrowly ahead of sub-40 at roughly 39% and 32.5% implied probability. Activity this month has centered on Grok model updates and Starlink milestones rather than major product launches or political flashpoints that historically spike volume. With no confirmed high-profile events scheduled for August 20–22, markets price limited upside beyond 90 tweets while acknowledging that breaking news or weekend engagement spikes could still shift counts. Traders weigh his consistent baseline against the absence of fresh catalysts that typically drive heavier threads or replies.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui40-64 41%
<40 32.5%
65-89 17%
115-139 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
<40
32%
40-64
41%
65-89
17%
90-114
4%
115-139
9%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 41%
<40 32.5%
65-89 17%
115-139 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
<40
$216 Vol.
32%
40-64
$7 Vol.
41%
65-89
$36 Vol.
17%
90-114
$0 Vol.
4%
115-139
$676 Vol.
9%
140-164
$526 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$2,141 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$620 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$120 Vol.
<1%
240+
$270 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X, averaging 10–20 updates daily amid ongoing AI and SpaceX commentary, anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 tweet bracket for the three-day window, narrowly ahead of sub-40 at roughly 39% and 32.5% implied probability. Activity this month has centered on Grok model updates and Starlink milestones rather than major product launches or political flashpoints that historically spike volume. With no confirmed high-profile events scheduled for August 20–22, markets price limited upside beyond 90 tweets while acknowledging that breaking news or weekend engagement spikes could still shift counts. Traders weigh his consistent baseline against the absence of fresh catalysts that typically drive heavier threads or replies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$4,612Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X, averaging 10–20 updates daily amid ongoing AI and SpaceX commentary, anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 tweet bracket for the three-day window, narrowly ahead of sub-40 at roughly 39% and 32.5% implied probability. Activity this month has centered on Grok model updates and Starlink milestones rather than major product launches or political flashpoints that historically spike volume. With no confirmed high-profile events scheduled for August 20–22, markets price limited upside beyond 90 tweets while acknowledging that breaking news or weekend engagement spikes could still shift counts. Traders weigh his consistent baseline against the absence of fresh catalysts that typically drive heavier threads or replies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,612Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X, averaging 10–20 updates daily amid ongoing AI and SpaceX commentary, anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 tweet bracket for the three-day window, narrowly ahead of sub-40 at roughly 39% and 32.5% implied probability. Activity this month has centered on Grok model updates and Starlink milestones rather than major product launches or political flashpoints that historically spike volume. With no confirmed high-profile events scheduled for August 20–22, markets price limited upside beyond 90 tweets while acknowledging that breaking news or weekend engagement spikes could still shift counts. Traders weigh his consistent baseline against the absence of fresh catalysts that typically drive heavier threads or replies.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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