**Mojtaba Khamenei’s X activity remains low-volume following his March 2026 appointment as Supreme Leader after his father’s assassination.** The account (@khamenei_ir and related channels) now favors infrequent authorized written messages on religious observances or foreign policy over original or frequent posts, consistent with his documented recovery from injuries sustained in the February strike and limited public appearances. Official statements from the Supreme Leader’s Public Relations Office reinforce that only designated channels may release content, further constraining output. This pattern produced trader consensus favoring under five posts for the August 21–28 window at 64 percent, with mid-range buckets (15–19 through 60+) clustered around 23–26 percent. Recent developments, including appointments such as the August 9 SNSC secretary naming and ongoing military preparations, have not altered the sparse posting rhythm observed in prior weeks. The market reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these structural and health-related constraints on direct social media engagement.