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icon for Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?

Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?

Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?

<5 49%

5-9 27%

10-14 15%

15-19 7.6%

Polymarket
BARU

<5 49%

5-9 27%

10-14 15%

15-19 7.6%

Polymarket
BARU

<5

$955 Vol.

49%

5-9

$215 Vol.

27%

10-14

$10 Vol.

15%

15-19

$5 Vol.

8%

20-24

$5 Vol.

8%

25-29

$5 Vol.

8%

30-34

$5 Vol.

8%

35-39

$5 Vol.

8%

40-44

$10 Vol.

1%

45-49

$10 Vol.

1%

50-54

$5 Vol.

1%

55-59

$5 Vol.

1%

60+

$5 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five hashtag posts from the @khamenei_ir account during August 18–25, 2026, reflecting the account’s established pattern of low and irregular activity.** Ali Khamenei was assassinated in February 2026 amid the Iran war, after which his son Mojtaba was selected as the new supreme leader. The official account continues posting archival statements and religious or historical content, frequently including hashtags such as #Arbaeen, but recent weeks show only a handful of posts with limited hashtag usage. Similar prior markets resolved toward the lowest brackets when no major geopolitical trigger or commemoration prompted elevated output. No scheduled events, diplomatic developments, or anniversaries in the immediate window appear positioned to increase volume, reinforcing the current pricing as the crowd’s assessment of routine posting cadence.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$526
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five hashtag posts from the @khamenei_ir account during August 18–25, 2026, reflecting the account’s established pattern of low and irregular activity.** Ali Khamenei was assassinated in February 2026 amid the Iran war, after which his son Mojtaba was selected as the new supreme leader. The official account continues posting archival statements and religious or historical content, frequently including hashtags such as #Arbaeen, but recent weeks show only a handful of posts with limited hashtag usage. Similar prior markets resolved toward the lowest brackets when no major geopolitical trigger or commemoration prompted elevated output. No scheduled events, diplomatic developments, or anniversaries in the immediate window appear positioned to increase volume, reinforcing the current pricing as the crowd’s assessment of routine posting cadence.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$526
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 13 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "<5" di 49%, diikuti oleh "5-9" di 27%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 49¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 49% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 15, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?," jelajahi 13 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?" adalah "<5" di 49%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 49% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "5-9" di 27%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.