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icon for Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Dunia·Kanada

Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Dunia·Kanada

Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Andrés Fontecilla 43%

Derek Lefebvre 37%

Kelly Lazo de la Vega 27%

Randy Legault-Rankin 26%

Polymarket
BARU

Andrés Fontecilla 43%

Derek Lefebvre 37%

Kelly Lazo de la Vega 27%

Randy Legault-Rankin 26%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Andrés Fontecilla

Andrés Fontecilla

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Derek Lefebvre

Derek Lefebvre

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Kelly Lazo de la Vega

Kelly Lazo de la Vega

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Randy Legault-Rankin

Randy Legault-Rankin

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Emil Parfyonov

Emil Parfyonov

$0 Vol.

26%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Laurier-Dorion riding, the 2026 Quebec general election on October 5 features a tight contest shaped by the incumbent Andrés Fontecilla of Québec solidaire facing Liberal challenger Randy Legault-Rankin, alongside candidates from the Parti Québécois, Conservative Party, and CAQ. Recent provincial polling shows the PQ leading overall, yet local projections from models like 338Canada indicate a toss-up between QS and the Liberals due to the riding's Montreal demographics and QS's strong 2022 performance. The nomination deadline of September 17 and ongoing campaign dynamics, including party positioning on key issues, sustain close trader consensus without clear separation. Late polling shifts or turnout in key voter blocs could alter the balance before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Laurier-Dorion riding, the 2026 Quebec general election on October 5 features a tight contest shaped by the incumbent Andrés Fontecilla of Québec solidaire facing Liberal challenger Randy Legault-Rankin, alongside candidates from the Parti Québécois, Conservative Party, and CAQ. Recent provincial polling shows the PQ leading overall, yet local projections from models like 338Canada indicate a toss-up between QS and the Liberals due to the riding's Montreal demographics and QS's strong 2022 performance. The nomination deadline of September 17 and ongoing campaign dynamics, including party positioning on key issues, sustain close trader consensus without clear separation. Late polling shifts or turnout in key voter blocs could alter the balance before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Andrés Fontecilla" di 43%, diikuti oleh "Derek Lefebvre" di 37%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 43¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 31, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" adalah "Andrés Fontecilla" di 43%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Derek Lefebvre" di 37%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.