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icon for How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?
Politik·Russia

How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?

icon for How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?
Politik·Russia

How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?

<45 91%

45–54 4.7%

55–64 3.3%

65–74 3.0%

Polymarket
BARU

<45 91%

45–54 4.7%

55–64 3.3%

65–74 3.0%

Polymarket
BARU

<45

$1,274 Vol.

91%

45–54

$183 Vol.

5%

55–64

$138 Vol.

3%

65–74

$158 Vol.

3%

75–84

$117 Vol.

2%

85–94

$292 Vol.

2%

95+

$295 Vol.

2%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The Russian State Duma election on September 18–20, 2026, occurs in a managed political system where United Russia maintains dominance through the mixed electoral rules allocating 225 proportional seats above a 5% threshold and 225 single-member districts. Recent state-affiliated polls from FOM and WCIOM place LDPR support at 8–14%, consistent with its post-2021 trajectory and the party's nationalist positioning under Leonid Slutsky following Vladimir Zhirinovsky’s death. This level typically yields 30–60 total seats, keeping outcomes below 45 the most probable range in trader assessments. LDPR’s limited single-member competitiveness, organizational strains in several regions, and the broader constraints on systemic opposition parties reinforce the current consensus. A material shift above 45 seats would require substantially stronger district results or adjustments in seat allocation dynamics than recent patterns indicate.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$2,457
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 8:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The Russian State Duma election on September 18–20, 2026, occurs in a managed political system where United Russia maintains dominance through the mixed electoral rules allocating 225 proportional seats above a 5% threshold and 225 single-member districts. Recent state-affiliated polls from FOM and WCIOM place LDPR support at 8–14%, consistent with its post-2021 trajectory and the party's nationalist positioning under Leonid Slutsky following Vladimir Zhirinovsky’s death. This level typically yields 30–60 total seats, keeping outcomes below 45 the most probable range in trader assessments. LDPR’s limited single-member competitiveness, organizational strains in several regions, and the broader constraints on systemic opposition parties reinforce the current consensus. A material shift above 45 seats would require substantially stronger district results or adjustments in seat allocation dynamics than recent patterns indicate.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$2,457
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 8:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "<45" di 91%, diikuti oleh "45–54" di 5%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 91¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 91% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 1, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?" adalah "<45" di 91%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 91% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "45–54" di 5%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.