Recent polling averages place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in the low-to-mid 20s, frequently edging or tying Likud while the Bennett-Lapid Together list trails further back. This narrow band stems from Yashar’s steady gains since its 2025 launch on themes of post-October 7 accountability and institutional reform, offset by Likud’s incumbency resilience and the disruptive entry of Ofer Winter’s People of Israel party, which siphons right-wing support and keeps both major blocs short of a 61-seat majority. Multiple surveys show the Zionist opposition bloc hovering near 59 seats and the Netanyahu-aligned camp near 48–52, with Arab lists holding the balance. Trader pricing across adjacent seat ranges captures this volatility, undecided voters near 11 percent, and the slim chance of last-minute list mergers or turnout swings before the October 27 vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIsrael Election: Yashar # of seats?
Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?
22-23 39%
28-29 36%
30+ 34%
24-25 26%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
<20
19%
20-21
25%
22-23
39%
24-25
26%
26-27
26%
28-29
36%
30+
34%
22-23 39%
28-29 36%
30+ 34%
24-25 26%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
<20
$0 Vol.
19%
20-21
$0 Vol.
25%
22-23
$0 Vol.
39%
24-25
$0 Vol.
26%
26-27
$0 Vol.
26%
28-29
$0 Vol.
36%
30+
$0 Vol.
34%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in the low-to-mid 20s, frequently edging or tying Likud while the Bennett-Lapid Together list trails further back. This narrow band stems from Yashar’s steady gains since its 2025 launch on themes of post-October 7 accountability and institutional reform, offset by Likud’s incumbency resilience and the disruptive entry of Ofer Winter’s People of Israel party, which siphons right-wing support and keeps both major blocs short of a 61-seat majority. Multiple surveys show the Zionist opposition bloc hovering near 59 seats and the Netanyahu-aligned camp near 48–52, with Arab lists holding the balance. Trader pricing across adjacent seat ranges captures this volatility, undecided voters near 11 percent, and the slim chance of last-minute list mergers or turnout swings before the October 27 vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in the low-to-mid 20s, frequently edging or tying Likud while the Bennett-Lapid Together list trails further back. This narrow band stems from Yashar’s steady gains since its 2025 launch on themes of post-October 7 accountability and institutional reform, offset by Likud’s incumbency resilience and the disruptive entry of Ofer Winter’s People of Israel party, which siphons right-wing support and keeps both major blocs short of a 61-seat majority. Multiple surveys show the Zionist opposition bloc hovering near 59 seats and the Netanyahu-aligned camp near 48–52, with Arab lists holding the balance. Trader pricing across adjacent seat ranges captures this volatility, undecided voters near 11 percent, and the slim chance of last-minute list mergers or turnout swings before the October 27 vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in the low-to-mid 20s, frequently edging or tying Likud while the Bennett-Lapid Together list trails further back. This narrow band stems from Yashar’s steady gains since its 2025 launch on themes of post-October 7 accountability and institutional reform, offset by Likud’s incumbency resilience and the disruptive entry of Ofer Winter’s People of Israel party, which siphons right-wing support and keeps both major blocs short of a 61-seat majority. Multiple surveys show the Zionist opposition bloc hovering near 59 seats and the Netanyahu-aligned camp near 48–52, with Arab lists holding the balance. Trader pricing across adjacent seat ranges captures this volatility, undecided voters near 11 percent, and the slim chance of last-minute list mergers or turnout swings before the October 27 vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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