Recent August 2026 polls from Real Time Big Data and Instituto França place Delegado André David (Republicanos) in front at 17-19% first-choice support for the Sergipe Federal Senate seat, ahead of André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, Rodrigo Valadares and a crowded field of eleven registered candidates. This positioning, combined with his Republicanos party ticket adjustments and departure from a municipal security post to campaign, underpins trader consensus around his elevated odds for first place in the October 4 election. The fragmented vote split across multiple contenders keeps second- and lower-place probabilities more dispersed, with no single rival consolidating support to challenge the current lead in available surveys.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiDelegado André David 56%
Renatinha 9%
André Moura 8%
Rogerio Carvalho 7.6%

Delegado André David
56%

Renatinha
9%

André Moura
8%

Rogerio Carvalho
8%

Iran Barbosa
6%

Eduardo Amorim
6%

Delegado Alessandro
4%

Rodrigo Valadares
4%

Coronel Rocha
4%

Edvaldo
4%

Paulinho da União Tur
2%
Delegado André David 56%
Renatinha 9%
André Moura 8%
Rogerio Carvalho 7.6%

Delegado André David
56%

Renatinha
9%

André Moura
8%

Rogerio Carvalho
8%

Iran Barbosa
6%

Eduardo Amorim
6%

Delegado Alessandro
4%

Rodrigo Valadares
4%

Coronel Rocha
4%

Edvaldo
4%

Paulinho da União Tur
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August 2026 polls from Real Time Big Data and Instituto França place Delegado André David (Republicanos) in front at 17-19% first-choice support for the Sergipe Federal Senate seat, ahead of André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, Rodrigo Valadares and a crowded field of eleven registered candidates. This positioning, combined with his Republicanos party ticket adjustments and departure from a municipal security post to campaign, underpins trader consensus around his elevated odds for first place in the October 4 election. The fragmented vote split across multiple contenders keeps second- and lower-place probabilities more dispersed, with no single rival consolidating support to challenge the current lead in available surveys.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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