Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the strongest position for first place in Pernambuco’s two-seat Senate contest, backed by consistent leads in recent polling from Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data through mid-August 2026. Incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) trails as the clearest alternative, while other names such as Mendonça Filho, Eduardo da Fonte, and Túlio Gadêlha register lower support. National polarization and candidate visibility on social media have reinforced Arraes’s edge, with surveys showing her ahead in multiple simulated scenarios even as undecided voters remain sizable. The election timeline leaves roughly two months for further shifts from campaign events or alliances, yet current polling trends continue to anchor trader consensus around her frontrunner status.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMarília Arraes 73%
Humberto Costa 18.0%
Mendonça Filho 7.4%
Paulo Rubem Santiago 3.9%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Arraes
73%
Humberto Costa
18%
Mendonça Filho
7%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
4%
Carlos Sant'Anna
4%
Mailson da Silva Neto
3%
Samuel Timoteo
3%
Gorett Bitu
1%
Eduardo da Fonte
1%
Túlio Gadêlha
1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
1%
Mariano Macedo
1%
Marília Arraes 73%
Humberto Costa 18.0%
Mendonça Filho 7.4%
Paulo Rubem Santiago 3.9%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Arraes
$3,889 Vol.
73%
Humberto Costa
$412 Vol.
18%
Mendonça Filho
$146 Vol.
7%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$146 Vol.
4%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$143 Vol.
4%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$174 Vol.
3%
Samuel Timoteo
$168 Vol.
3%
Gorett Bitu
$146 Vol.
1%
Eduardo da Fonte
$143 Vol.
1%
Túlio Gadêlha
$146 Vol.
1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$146 Vol.
1%
Mariano Macedo
$154 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the strongest position for first place in Pernambuco’s two-seat Senate contest, backed by consistent leads in recent polling from Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data through mid-August 2026. Incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) trails as the clearest alternative, while other names such as Mendonça Filho, Eduardo da Fonte, and Túlio Gadêlha register lower support. National polarization and candidate visibility on social media have reinforced Arraes’s edge, with surveys showing her ahead in multiple simulated scenarios even as undecided voters remain sizable. The election timeline leaves roughly two months for further shifts from campaign events or alliances, yet current polling trends continue to anchor trader consensus around her frontrunner status.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$5,815Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the strongest position for first place in Pernambuco’s two-seat Senate contest, backed by consistent leads in recent polling from Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data through mid-August 2026. Incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) trails as the clearest alternative, while other names such as Mendonça Filho, Eduardo da Fonte, and Túlio Gadêlha register lower support. National polarization and candidate visibility on social media have reinforced Arraes’s edge, with surveys showing her ahead in multiple simulated scenarios even as undecided voters remain sizable. The election timeline leaves roughly two months for further shifts from campaign events or alliances, yet current polling trends continue to anchor trader consensus around her frontrunner status.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$5,815Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the strongest position for first place in Pernambuco’s two-seat Senate contest, backed by consistent leads in recent polling from Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data through mid-August 2026. Incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) trails as the clearest alternative, while other names such as Mendonça Filho, Eduardo da Fonte, and Túlio Gadêlha register lower support. National polarization and candidate visibility on social media have reinforced Arraes’s edge, with surveys showing her ahead in multiple simulated scenarios even as undecided voters remain sizable. The election timeline leaves roughly two months for further shifts from campaign events or alliances, yet current polling trends continue to anchor trader consensus around her frontrunner status.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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