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Politik·Primer

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-19 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

Catalina Lauf 78%

Jim Schwartzel 13.0%

Jim Oberweis 2.3%

Madison Cawthorn <1%

Polymarket

$77,613 Vol.

Catalina Lauf 78%

Jim Schwartzel 13.0%

Jim Oberweis 2.3%

Madison Cawthorn <1%

Polymarket

$77,613 Vol.

icon for Catalina Lauf

Catalina Lauf

$36,759 Vol.

78%

icon for Jim Schwartzel

Jim Schwartzel

$18,810 Vol.

13%

icon for Jim Oberweis

Jim Oberweis

$11,338 Vol.

2%

icon for Madison Cawthorn

Madison Cawthorn

$4,386 Vol.

1%

icon for Bob Rommel

Bob Rommel

$3,912 Vol.

<1%

icon for Spencer Roach

Spencer Roach

$2,408 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump's recent endorsement of Catalina Lauf has sharply elevated her standing as the consensus frontrunner in the crowded August 18 Republican primary for Florida's 19th Congressional District. The endorsement, issued days before early voting concludes, aligns with support from other Republican lawmakers and a super PAC, reinforcing her profile as a former Trump administration official focused on America First priorities in the open seat vacated by Byron Donalds. Earlier polling showed a tight contest with local businessman Jim Schwartzel, but the latest market pricing reflects the momentum shift toward Lauf. Remaining candidates, including Jim Oberweis and Madison Cawthorn, trail significantly amid the fragmented field and limited time for further movement before primary resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$77,613
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump's recent endorsement of Catalina Lauf has sharply elevated her standing as the consensus frontrunner in the crowded August 18 Republican primary for Florida's 19th Congressional District. The endorsement, issued days before early voting concludes, aligns with support from other Republican lawmakers and a super PAC, reinforcing her profile as a former Trump administration official focused on America First priorities in the open seat vacated by Byron Donalds. Earlier polling showed a tight contest with local businessman Jim Schwartzel, but the latest market pricing reflects the momentum shift toward Lauf. Remaining candidates, including Jim Oberweis and Madison Cawthorn, trail significantly amid the fragmented field and limited time for further movement before primary resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$77,613
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Catalina Lauf" di 78%, diikuti oleh "Jim Schwartzel" di 13%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 78¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 78% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $77.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Catalina Lauf" di 78%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 78% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jim Schwartzel" di 13%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.