North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026 to date—individual short-range launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and 12, followed by a salvo of more than 10 missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These occurred amid the Ulchi Freedom Shield joint U.S.-South Korea military exercises, which Pyongyang routinely denounces as provocative and which have historically prompted calibrated signaling through weapons tests. With roughly one week remaining before month-end and the exercises concluding, trader consensus reflected in the leading <4 outcome incorporates the possibility of one additional event while accounting for the potential that recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. engagement overtures, could limit further activity. The exact count depends on whether subsequent barrages register as separate tests under the market’s resolution criteria.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNumber of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
<4 56%
4 25.7%
5 9%
6+ 5.2%
$20,650 Vol.
$20,650 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<4
56%
4
26%
5
9%
6+
5%
<4 56%
4 25.7%
5 9%
6+ 5.2%
$20,650 Vol.
$20,650 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<4
$2,265 Vol.
56%
4
$632 Vol.
26%
5
$247 Vol.
9%
6+
$17,506 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026 to date—individual short-range launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and 12, followed by a salvo of more than 10 missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These occurred amid the Ulchi Freedom Shield joint U.S.-South Korea military exercises, which Pyongyang routinely denounces as provocative and which have historically prompted calibrated signaling through weapons tests. With roughly one week remaining before month-end and the exercises concluding, trader consensus reflected in the leading <4 outcome incorporates the possibility of one additional event while accounting for the potential that recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. engagement overtures, could limit further activity. The exact count depends on whether subsequent barrages register as separate tests under the market’s resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Volume
$20,650Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026 to date—individual short-range launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and 12, followed by a salvo of more than 10 missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These occurred amid the Ulchi Freedom Shield joint U.S.-South Korea military exercises, which Pyongyang routinely denounces as provocative and which have historically prompted calibrated signaling through weapons tests. With roughly one week remaining before month-end and the exercises concluding, trader consensus reflected in the leading <4 outcome incorporates the possibility of one additional event while accounting for the potential that recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. engagement overtures, could limit further activity. The exact count depends on whether subsequent barrages register as separate tests under the market’s resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$20,650Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026 to date—individual short-range launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and 12, followed by a salvo of more than 10 missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These occurred amid the Ulchi Freedom Shield joint U.S.-South Korea military exercises, which Pyongyang routinely denounces as provocative and which have historically prompted calibrated signaling through weapons tests. With roughly one week remaining before month-end and the exercises concluding, trader consensus reflected in the leading <4 outcome incorporates the possibility of one additional event while accounting for the potential that recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. engagement overtures, could limit further activity. The exact count depends on whether subsequent barrages register as separate tests under the market’s resolution criteria.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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