Capitão Contar leads the market for second place in the Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting his consistent second-place standing in the latest available polling from mid-August. A Ranking poll released August 14 showed Reinaldo Azambuja ahead at 30-34% while Contar registered 20-25%, ahead of Vander Loubet, Soraya Thronicke, and the rest of the field. Recent candidate registration deadlines and party conventions have locked in the slate without major shifts from endorsements or debates that would alter this ordering. Lower probabilities for Vander Loubet, Soraya, and trailing names align with their single-digit to low-double-digit support and limited recent momentum. With the October 4 vote still weeks away, the pricing captures trader assessments of current vote intention and the absence of late-breaking developments capable of reordering the top contenders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCapitão Contar 61%
Daniel Junior 31%
Soraya 21%
Luiz Lemes 20%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Contar
61%
Daniel Junior
31%
Soraya
21%
Luiz Lemes
20%
Roberto Oshiro
19%
Vander Loubet
19%
Valter da Comagran
18%
Valderi Garcia
18%
Beto do Movimento
17%
Reinaldo Azambuja
16%
Capitão Contar 61%
Daniel Junior 31%
Soraya 21%
Luiz Lemes 20%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Contar
$318 Vol.
61%
Daniel Junior
$44 Vol.
31%
Soraya
$44 Vol.
21%
Luiz Lemes
$44 Vol.
20%
Roberto Oshiro
$44 Vol.
19%
Vander Loubet
$44 Vol.
19%
Valter da Comagran
$44 Vol.
18%
Valderi Garcia
$44 Vol.
18%
Beto do Movimento
$44 Vol.
17%
Reinaldo Azambuja
$44 Vol.
16%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Capitão Contar leads the market for second place in the Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting his consistent second-place standing in the latest available polling from mid-August. A Ranking poll released August 14 showed Reinaldo Azambuja ahead at 30-34% while Contar registered 20-25%, ahead of Vander Loubet, Soraya Thronicke, and the rest of the field. Recent candidate registration deadlines and party conventions have locked in the slate without major shifts from endorsements or debates that would alter this ordering. Lower probabilities for Vander Loubet, Soraya, and trailing names align with their single-digit to low-double-digit support and limited recent momentum. With the October 4 vote still weeks away, the pricing captures trader assessments of current vote intention and the absence of late-breaking developments capable of reordering the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$713Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Capitão Contar leads the market for second place in the Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting his consistent second-place standing in the latest available polling from mid-August. A Ranking poll released August 14 showed Reinaldo Azambuja ahead at 30-34% while Contar registered 20-25%, ahead of Vander Loubet, Soraya Thronicke, and the rest of the field. Recent candidate registration deadlines and party conventions have locked in the slate without major shifts from endorsements or debates that would alter this ordering. Lower probabilities for Vander Loubet, Soraya, and trailing names align with their single-digit to low-double-digit support and limited recent momentum. With the October 4 vote still weeks away, the pricing captures trader assessments of current vote intention and the absence of late-breaking developments capable of reordering the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$713Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Capitão Contar leads the market for second place in the Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting his consistent second-place standing in the latest available polling from mid-August. A Ranking poll released August 14 showed Reinaldo Azambuja ahead at 30-34% while Contar registered 20-25%, ahead of Vander Loubet, Soraya Thronicke, and the rest of the field. Recent candidate registration deadlines and party conventions have locked in the slate without major shifts from endorsements or debates that would alter this ordering. Lower probabilities for Vander Loubet, Soraya, and trailing names align with their single-digit to low-double-digit support and limited recent momentum. With the October 4 vote still weeks away, the pricing captures trader assessments of current vote intention and the absence of late-breaking developments capable of reordering the top contenders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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